# Breaking the Epistemic Trap: Active Perception Under Compound Uncertainty

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.26627 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.26627/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Safe and constrained RL, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods.
- Builds on 34 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 May 2026.

## Placed in

- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [Safe and constrained RL](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/safe-and-constrained-rl/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 34)

- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models Transfer Web Knowledge to Robotic Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15818/) (2023)
- [Invariant Risk Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02893/) (2019)
- [Curiosity-driven Exploration by Self-supervised Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.05363/) (2017)
- [Deep Reinforcement Learning in a Handful of Trials using Probabilistic Dynamics Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.12114/) (2018)
- [Out-of-Distribution Generalization via Risk Extrapolation (REx)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.00688/) (2020)
- [MOPO: Model-based Offline Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.13239/) (2020)
- [Deep Exploration via Bootstrapped DQN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04621/) (2016)
- [TD-MPC2: Scalable, Robust World Models for Continuous Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.16828/) (2023)
- [Robust Adversarial Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.02702/) (2017)
- [Resurrecting Recurrent Neural Networks for Long Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.06349/) (2023)
- [Causality for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10500/) (2019)
- [A Survey on Active Simultaneous Localization and Mapping: State of the Art and New Frontiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.00254/) (2022)
- [POPGym: Benchmarking Partially Observable Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.01859/) (2023)
- [Contextualize Me -- The Case for Context in Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.04500/) (2022)
- [A Survey of Constraint Formulations in Safe Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02025/) (2024)
- [Uncertainty-aware Latent Safety Filters for Avoiding Out-of-Distribution Failures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.00779/) (2025)
- [Distributionally Robust Reinforcement Learning with Interactive Data Collection: Fundamental Hardness and Near-Optimal Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.03578/) (2024)
- [RobustVLA: On Robustness of Vision-Language-Action Model against Multi-Modal Perturbations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00037/) (2025)
- [ActSafe: Active Exploration with Safety Constraints for Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.09486/) (2024)
- [A Study of Global and Episodic Bonuses for Exploration in Contextual MDPs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03236/) (2023)
- [Robust Gymnasium: A Unified Modular Benchmark for Robust Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.19652/) (2025)
- [Mutual Information Regularized Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.07484/) (2022)
- [MESA: Offline Meta-RL for Safe Adaptation and Fault Tolerance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.03575/) (2021)
- [ConstrainedZero: Chance-Constrained POMDP Planning using Learned Probabilistic Failure Surrogates and Adaptive Safety Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.00644/) (2024)
- [Benchmarking Partial Observability in Reinforcement Learning with a Suite of Memory-Improvable Domains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.00046/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty Prioritized Experience Replay](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09270/) (2025)
- [Dual-Robust Cross-Domain Offline Reinforcement Learning Against Dynamics Shifts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.02486/) (2025)
- [Phys2Real: Fusing VLM Priors with Interactive Online Adaptation for Uncertainty-Aware Sim-to-Real Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.11689/) (2025)
- [Mutual Information Tracks Policy Coherence in Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.10423/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Deploying reinforcement learning in safety critical domains, from autonomous vehicles to medical decision support, is constrained by failures arising when systems encounter unfamiliar conditions. We argue that the fundamental bottleneck is not individual challenges like changing dynamics or incomplete observations, but their synergistic interaction, which we term the Epistemic Trap: agents cannot estimate their state without knowing system dynamics, nor learn dynamics without accurate state information. Proof-of-concept experiments in simulated locomotion reveal that combining these uncertainties causes failures far worse than either challenge alone, a 77% observed degradation against the 46% additive prediction, demonstrating that compounding failure modes can emerge and, when they do, far exceed what additive reasoning would predict. Conventional approaches typically adopt a passive epistemic stance that cannot resolve this coupled uncertainty. We propose reframing safety as an information problem. We introduce an Adaptive Safety Architecture built around three contributions. First, the Compound Uncertainty Coefficient (kappa), a mutual-information based metric that quantifies how tightly state and dynamics uncertainties are coupled. Second, information-seeking policies governed by a MaxInfoRL objective that actively probe system dynamics rather than waiting for the environment to reveal itself passively. Third, regime adaptive safety constraints that tighten automatically as epistemic coupling rises. Together, these constitute a paradigm shift from passive robustness to active perception, offering a principled path toward decision making systems that operate under uncertainty, recognize their own ignorance, and act strategically to resolve it.
