# Calibrating Probabilistic Object Detectors with Annotator Disagreement

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.24722 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.24722/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 42 of its 63 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 42)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.0312/) (2014)
- [Faster R-CNN: Towards Real-Time Object Detection with Region Proposal Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.01497/) (2015)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Scalability in Perception for Autonomous Driving: Waymo Open Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04838/) (2019)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [YOLOX: Exceeding YOLO Series in 2021](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.08430/) (2021)
- [YOLOv7: Trainable bag-of-freebies sets new state-of-the-art for real-time object detectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.02696/) (2022)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03342/) (2021)
- [Measuring Calibration in Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.01685/) (2019)
- [Calibrating Deep Neural Networks using Focal Loss](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.09437/) (2020)
- [Verified Uncertainty Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.10155/) (2019)
- [Confidence Calibration and Predictive Uncertainty Estimation for Deep Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.13273/) (2019)
- [Bounding Box Regression with Uncertainty for Accurate Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.08545/) (2018)
- [A Review and Comparative Study on Probabilistic Object Detection in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.10671/) (2020)
- [Dropout Sampling for Robust Object Detection in Open-Set Conditions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.06677/) (2017)
- [Gaussian YOLOv3: An Accurate and Fast Object Detector Using Localization Uncertainty for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.04620/) (2019)
- [Recent advances and clinical applications of deep learning in medical image analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.13381/) (2021)
- [Multivariate Confidence Calibration for Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.13546/) (2020)
- [BayesOD: A Bayesian Approach for Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Object Detectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.03838/) (2019)
- [Probabilistic Object Detection: Definition and Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.10800/) (2018)
- [Evaluating Merging Strategies for Sampling-based Uncertainty Techniques in Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.06006/) (2018)
- [Uncertainty Quantification of Collaborative Detection for Self-Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.08162/) (2022)
- [Estimating and Evaluating Regression Predictive Uncertainty in Deep Object Detectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.05036/) (2021)
- [Uncertainty Estimation in One-Stage Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10296/) (2019)
- [Can We Trust You? On Calibration of a Probabilistic Object Detector for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.12358/) (2019)
- [Towards Improving Calibration in Object Detection Under Domain Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.07601/) (2022)
- [Towards Building Self-Aware Object Detectors via Reliable Uncertainty Quantification and Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.00934/) (2023)
- [Multiclass Confidence and Localization Calibration for Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08271/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

High degrees of disagreement among annotators can exist for ambiguous objects, e.g. in medical images, underscoring the challenges of establishing ground truth annotations in object detection tasks. Despite this, all existing object detectors implicitly require access to ground truth annotations for either training or evaluation. The fundamental questions we target are: How can we learn an object detector with multiple annotators' annotations but without objective ground truth annotations due to object ambiguity, and how can we enable the learned detector to express meaningful model predictive uncertainties in detecting ambiguous objects? To answer these questions, we present an interpretable approach to calibrate probabilistic object detectors, where the calibration goal is to align the class confidence and bounding box variance estimates to the annotators' annotation distribution. We introduce an efficient yet effective framework to calibrate probabilistic object detectors by designing four evaluation metrics to measure calibration errors regarding classification and localization, and proposing a train-time calibration and post-hoc calibrator, all without the need to access any ground truth. This framework is generalizable to many existing probabilistic object detectors, such as the YOLO families and two-stage detectors. Empirical results with real-world and synthetic datasets of medical and natural images demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed framework with three popular object detectors.
