# Machine Psychometrics: A Mathematical Psychology of Artificial Intelligence

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.23952 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.23952/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [A Survey on Hallucination in Large Language Models: Principles, Taxonomy, Challenges, and Open Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.05232/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Evaluation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03109/) (2023)
- [Discovering Language Model Behaviors with Model-Written Evaluations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09251/) (2022)
- [A Survey of Confidence Estimation and Calibration in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08298/) (2023)
- [Do Large Language Models Know What They Don't Know?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.18153/) (2023)
- [Consciousness in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Science of Consciousness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08708/) (2023)
- [Sycophancy in Large Language Models: Causes and Mitigations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.15287/) (2024)
- [Capturing Failures of Large Language Models via Human Cognitive Biases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.12299/) (2022)
- [A Framework for Human Evaluation of Large Language Models in Healthcare Derived from Literature Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.02559/) (2024)
- [Lost in Benchmarks? Rethinking Large Language Model Benchmarking with Item Response Theory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15055/) (2025)
- [Anchoring Bias in Large Language Models: An Experimental Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.06593/) (2024)
- [TRUTH DECAY: Quantifying Multi-Turn Sycophancy in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.11656/) (2025)
- [Language Models Fail to Introspect About Their Knowledge of Language](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.07513/) (2025)
- [Technological Approach to Mind Everywhere (TAME): an experimentally-grounded framework for understanding diverse bodies and minds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.10346/) (2021)
- [Metacognition and Uncertainty Communication in Humans and Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.14045/) (2025)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models with Psychometrics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.17675/) (2024)
- [Item Response Theory -- A Statistical Framework for Educational and Psychological Measurement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.08604/) (2021)
- [Latency-Response Theory Model: Evaluating Large Language Models via Response Accuracy and Chain-of-Thought Length](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.07019/) (2025)
- [The Surprising Universality of LLM Outputs: A Real-Time Verification Primitive](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.25634/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [RAILS: Verification-Native Clearing For Agentic Commerce](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.08790/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Artificial agents now generate behavior rich enough to invite trust, surprise, and concern, yet our evaluation tools still privilege capability scores over psychological structure. This paper argues that the philosophical impasse between two symmetrical errors (Artificial Mind Blindness, which dismisses psychological organization in non-biological systems, and Artificial Mind Projection, which infers human-like inner life from fluent behavior alone) can be circumvented not by resolving the consciousness question, but by introducing a disciplined measurement layer beneath it. Drawing on Michael Levin's continuum view of cognition as goal-directed competency across substrates, and on the methodological repertoire of mathematical psychology (Item Response Theory, Signal Detection Theory, Bayesian cognitive modeling, calibration analysis, cognitive-bias batteries), the paper develops Machine Psychometrics as a measurement science of latent behavioral, metacognitive, communicative, and self-modeling dispositions in artificial agents. Its operational core is the Machine Mindprint: a multidimensional, domain-bounded, versioned profile spanning calibration, source integrity, suggestibility resistance, context stability, expressive alignment, tool integrity, drift monitoring, and distributional grounding. A complementary Trust Protocol turns Mindprints into deployment decisions through probe batteries, perturbation testing, reliability and validity analysis, and longitudinal monitoring across high-stakes domains. The philosophical contribution is a third stance, Artificial Mind Discipline, that neither anthropomorphizes nor dismisses, neither presupposes consciousness nor forecloses it. The aim is not to humanize artificial agents, but to understand them precisely because they are not human, through measurement before judgment.
