# You Only Need Minimal RLVR Training: Extrapolating LLMs via Rank-1 Trajectories

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.21468 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.21468/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reinforcement learning for reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 28 of its 32 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 May 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Reinforcement learning for reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/reinforcement-learning-for-reasoning/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 28 of 28)

- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15556/) (2022)
- [HybridFlow: A Flexible and Efficient RLHF Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.19256/) (2024)
- [Model soups: averaging weights of multiple fine-tuned models improves accuracy without increasing inference time](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.05482/) (2022)
- [OlympiadBench: A Challenging Benchmark for Promoting AGI with Olympiad-Level Bilingual Multimodal Scientific Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14008/) (2024)
- [Editing Models with Task Arithmetic](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.04089/) (2022)
- [Qwen2.5-Math Technical Report: Toward Mathematical Expert Model via Self-Improvement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12122/) (2024)
- [Tulu 3: Pushing Frontiers in Open Language Model Post-Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.15124/) (2024)
- [Does Reinforcement Learning Really Incentivize Reasoning Capacity in LLMs Beyond the Base Model?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.13837/) (2025)
- [Intrinsic Dimensionality Explains the Effectiveness of Language Model Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.13255/) (2020)
- [Measuring the Intrinsic Dimension of Objective Landscapes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.08838/) (2018)
- [LoraHub: Efficient Cross-Task Generalization via Dynamic LoRA Composition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.13269/) (2023)
- [ProRL: Prolonged Reinforcement Learning Expands Reasoning Boundaries in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24864/) (2025)
- [RL's Razor: Why Online Reinforcement Learning Forgets Less](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.04259/) (2025)
- [The Surprising Effectiveness of Negative Reinforcement in LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.01347/) (2025)
- [Beyond Benchmarks: MathArena as an Evaluation Platform for Mathematics with LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.00674/) (2026)
- [The Path Not Taken: RLVR Provably Learns Off the Principals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.08567/) (2025)
- [Reinforcement Learning Finetunes Small Subnetworks in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11711/) (2025)
- [Model Extrapolation Expedites Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.16792/) (2024)
- [On Predictability of Reinforcement Learning Dynamics for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00553/) (2025)
- [Generative Modeling of Weights: Generalization or Memorization?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07998/) (2025)
- [On the Emergence of Implicit Curriculum in RLVR Learning Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.14872/) (2026)
- [WeightFlow: Learning Stochastic Dynamics via Evolving Weight of Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.00451/) (2025)
- [Low-rank Optimization Trajectories Modeling for LLM RLVR Acceleration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.11446/) (2026)
- [On the Implicit Reward Overfitting and the Low-rank Dynamics in RLVR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.06523/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [RISE: Recursive Improvement via Self-Extrapolating Policy Distillation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.05295/) (2026)
- [Does Scaling Reinforcement Learning Really Require More Training?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.01133/) (2026)
- [SFT Leaves a Reproducible Signature in Activation Geometry: Calibrating Post-Training Interpretability Against Run-to-Run Noise](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.17093/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has become a dominant paradigm for improving reasoning in large language models (LLMs), yet the underlying geometry of the resulting parameter trajectories remains underexplored. In this work, we demonstrate that RLVR weight trajectories are extremely low-rank and highly predictable. Specifically, we find that the majority of downstream performance gains are captured by a rank-1 approximation of the parameter deltas, where the magnitude of this projection evolves near-linearly with training steps. Motivated by this, we propose a simple and compute-efficient method RELEX (REinforcement Learning EXtrapolation), which estimates the rank-1 subspace from a short observation window and extrapolates future checkpoints via linear regression, with no learned model required. Across three models (i.e., Qwen2.5-Math-1.5B, Qwen3-4B-Base, and Qwen3-8B-Base), RELEX produces checkpoints that match or exceed RLVR performance on both in-domain and out-of-domain benchmarks, requiring as few as 15% steps of full RLVR training. Remarkably, RELEX is able to extrapolate far beyond the observation window at no training cost, predicting checkpoints up to 10-20× beyond the observed prefix with continued improvement (e.g., observe only the first 50 steps and extrapolate to 1000 steps). Our ablation analysis confirms the minimalist sufficiency of RELEX: neither increasing the subspace rank nor employing non-linear modeling yields further gains in extrapolation. Finally, we show that RELEX's success stems from a "denoising" effect: by projecting updates onto the rank-1 subspace, the model discards stochastic optimization noise that would otherwise degrade performance during extrapolation. Our code is available at https://github.com/weizhepei/RELEX.