# SAGE: Scalable Automatic Gating Ensemble for Confident Negative Harvesting in Fraud Detection

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.20157 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.20157/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 3 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 19 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Positive-Unlabeled Learning with Non-Negative Risk Estimator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.00593/) (2017)
- [Learning from positive and unlabeled data: a survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.04820/) (2018)
- [Abuse and Fraud Detection in Streaming Services Using Heuristic-Aware Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.02124/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Music streaming fraud, where bad actors artificially inflate stream counts to manipulate chart rankings and royalty payments, poses a significant threat to streaming services and legitimate content creators. Traditional fraud detection approaches struggle with a critical challenge: many legitimate edge cases, including super-fans and sleep-music sessions, exhibit activity patterns that closely mimic those of coordinated fraud. We present SAGE, a novel counterfactual-aware negative harvesting approach that combines SimHash-based stratified sampling with a modular gating ensemble for confident negative identification from unlabeled data. Our ensemble architecture employs pluggable statistical gates (currently instantiated with Mahalanobis distance and k-NN density) with configurable voting thresholds enabling adaptive precision-recall trade-offs. This addresses the representation bias problem in Positive-Unlabeled learning by ensuring comprehensive coverage of rare behavioral cohorts through floor-constrained sampling. Evaluation demonstrates strong precision and recall on held-out data. The approach generalizes across fraud detection domains, achieving strong performance on both customer-level and artist-level fraud without modification to the core methodology.