# Pessimistic Risk-Aware Policy Learning in Contextual Bandits

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.15620 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.15620/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 27 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 27 of 27)

- [A Distributional Perspective on Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06887/) (2017)
- [Distributional Reinforcement Learning with Quantile Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10044/) (2017)
- [Implicit Quantile Networks for Distributional Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.06923/) (2018)
- [Is Pessimism Provably Efficient for Offline RL?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.15085/) (2020)
- [From Predictive to Prescriptive Analytics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1402.5481/) (2014)
- [The Importance of Pessimism in Fixed-Dataset Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.06799/) (2020)
- [Conservative Offline Distributional Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.06106/) (2021)
- [Offline Multi-Action Policy Learning: Generalization and Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04778/) (2018)
- [Risk-Averse Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.05371/) (2021)
- [Being Optimistic to Be Conservative: Quickly Learning a CVaR Policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.01546/) (2019)
- [Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning: Near-Optimal Risk-Sample Tradeoff in Regret](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.13827/) (2020)
- [Balanced Policy Evaluation and Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07384/) (2017)
- [Universal Off-Policy Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.12820/) (2021)
- [Cumulative Prospect Theory Meets Reinforcement Learning: Prediction and Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02632/) (2015)
- [Policy learning "without" overlap: Pessimism and generalized empirical Bernstein's inequality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09900/) (2022)
- [Near-Minimax-Optimal Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning with CVaR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.03201/) (2023)
- [Off-Policy Risk Assessment in Contextual Bandits](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.08977/) (2021)
- [Nonparametric causal effects based on incremental propensity score interventions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.00211/) (2017)
- [Regret Bounds for Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.05650/) (2022)
- [One Risk to Rule Them All: A Risk-Sensitive Perspective on Model-Based Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.00124/) (2022)
- [Policy Learning with Adaptively Collected Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.02344/) (2021)
- [A Wasserstein distance approach for concentration of empirical risk estimates](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10709/) (2019)
- [Bridging Distributional and Risk-sensitive Reinforcement Learning with Provable Regret Bounds](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.14051/) (2022)
- [Upper bounds on the Natarajan dimensions of some function classes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.07015/) (2022)
- [Off-Policy Risk Assessment in Markov Decision Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.10444/) (2022)
- [Positivity-free Policy Learning with Observational Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06969/) (2023)
- [Pessimism Meets Risk: Risk-Sensitive Offline Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.07631/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We study risk-aware offline policy learning, aiming to learn a decision rule from logged data that is optimal under general risk criteria. This problem is crucial in high-stakes domains where online interaction is infeasible and adverse outcomes must be carefully controlled. However, existing literature on offline contextual bandits either centers on expected-reward criteria or restricts risk considerations to policy evaluation instead of optimization. In this work, we propose a unified distributional framework for optimizing Lipschitz-continuous risk functionals, a broad class of risk measures encompassing mean-variance, entropic risk, and conditional value-at-risk, among others. By developing novel empirical concentration inequalities for importance sampling-based distributional estimators, our analysis derives data-dependent suboptimality bounds with an tildeO(1/√n) rate, without relying on restrictive uniform overlap assumptions. This rate is minimax optimal and matches that of risk-neutral offline policy optimization, indicating that optimizing general Lipschitz risk criteria incurs no additional statistical cost relative to the expected-reward.
