# Separating Intrinsic Ambiguity from Estimation Uncertainty in Deep Generative Models for Linear Inverse Problems

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.15050 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.15050/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 22 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Diffusion Posterior Sampling for General Noisy Inverse Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.14687/) (2022)
- [Image Super-Resolution Using Deep Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1501.00092/) (2014)
- [Denoising Diffusion Restoration Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11793/) (2022)
- [Zero-Shot Image Restoration Using Denoising Diffusion Null-Space Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.00490/) (2022)
- [fastMRI: An Open Dataset and Benchmarks for Accelerated MRI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.08839/) (2018)
- [A Survey on Diffusion Models for Inverse Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.00083/) (2024)
- [Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.06788/) (2018)
- [A Conditional Normalizing Flow for Accelerated Multi-Coil MR Imaging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01630/) (2023)
- [ConDiSim: Conditional Diffusion Models for Simulation Based Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.08403/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Recently, deep generative models have been used for posterior inference in inverse problems, including high-stakes applications in medical imaging and scientific discovery, where the uncertainty of a prediction can matter as much as the prediction itself. However, posterior uncertainty is difficult to interpret because it can mix ambiguity inherent to the forward operator with uncertainty propagated through inference. We introduce a structural decomposition of posterior uncertainty that isolates intrinsic ambiguity. A cascade formulation makes this ambiguity accessible for calibration analysis, enabling qualitative diagnostics and simulation-based calibration tests that reveal failure modes that remain hidden when models are selected by reconstruction quality alone. We first validate the approach on a Gaussian example with analytical posterior structure, then illustrate the decomposition on accelerated magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and finally apply the calibration diagnostics to electroencephalography (EEG) source imaging.
