# EponaV2: Driving World Model with Comprehensive Future Reasoning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.14696 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.14696/

## Key facts

- Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in World models for autonomous driving, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 94 of its 99 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 May 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [World models for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/wm/world-models-for-autonomous-driving/)
- LLM reasoning / [Chain-of-thought reasoning for driving](https://mlsanity.com/lr/chain-of-thought-reasoning-for-driving/)
- End-to-end autonomous driving / [Generative simulation for driving](https://mlsanity.com/driving/generative-simulation-for-driving/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 94)

- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02502/) (2020)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [Flow Matching for Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02747/) (2022)
- [nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.11027/) (2019)
- [Flow Straight and Fast: Learning to Generate and Transfer Data with Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.03003/) (2022)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [Depth Anything V2](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09414/) (2024)
- [DINOv3](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.10104/) (2025)
- [Depth Anything: Unleashing the Power of Large-Scale Unlabeled Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.10891/) (2024)
- [Planning-oriented Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10156/) (2022)
- [Scaling Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.04560/) (2021)
- [Building Normalizing Flows with Stochastic Interpolants](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.15571/) (2022)
- [SAM 3: Segment Anything with Concepts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.16719/) (2025)
- [Scaling Vision Transformers to 22 Billion Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05442/) (2023)
- [Depth Anything 3: Recovering the Visual Space from Any Views](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.10647/) (2025)
- [Flow-GRPO: Training Flow Matching Models via Online RL](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.05470/) (2025)
- [VAD: Vectorized Scene Representation for Efficient Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.12077/) (2023)
- [DriveLM: Driving with Graph Visual Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.14150/) (2023)
- [NuPlan: A closed-loop ML-based planning benchmark for autonomous vehicles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.11810/) (2021)
- [DriveVLM: The Convergence of Autonomous Driving and Large Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.12289/) (2024)
- [TransFuser: Imitation with Transformer-Based Sensor Fusion for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.15997/) (2022)
- [Metric3Dv2: A Versatile Monocular Geometric Foundation Model for Zero-shot Metric Depth and Surface Normal Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.15506/) (2024)
- [Multi-Modal Fusion Transformer for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.09224/) (2021)
- [Metric3D: Towards Zero-shot Metric 3D Prediction from A Single Image](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.10984/) (2023)
- [NAVSIM: Data-Driven Non-Reactive Autonomous Vehicle Simulation and Benchmarking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.15349/) (2024)
- [DiffusionDrive: Truncated Diffusion Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.15139/) (2024)
- [VADv2: End-to-End Vectorized Autonomous Driving via Probabilistic Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.13243/) (2024)
- [Diffusion Policy Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.00588/) (2024)
- [AutoVLA: A Vision-Language-Action Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Adaptive Reasoning and Reinforcement Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.13757/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Qwen-Drive-1.0: An Initial Step towards a Vision-Language Foundation Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.00111/) (2026)
- [RISE: Adaptive Imagination for World Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.20430/) (2026)
- [GeoWAM: Visual Geometry World Action Models for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.23486/) (2026)
- [PhysEditWorld: A Large-Scale Dataset Toward Physics-Editable World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.26694/) (2026)
- [Post-Training in End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.08072/) (2026)
- [GeoWorldAD: Geometry World Action Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.17521/) (2026)
- [SUV: Future Scene Understanding as Video Generation for End-to-End Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.03084/) (2026)
- [SV-WAM: An Efficient Surround-View World-Action Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.03602/) (2026)
- [How Far Can 5,500 Hours of Driving Take You? A Scaling Law Analysis of Video Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.28404/) (2026)
- [Long-Horizon Consistent and Interaction-Aware World Models for Multi-Style End-to-End Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.03225/) (2026)
- [WALT: Learning World-Model-Aligned Latent Trajectories for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.30436/) (2026)
- [PhysWAM: Physically Consistent World Action Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.37970/) (2026)
- [MORE: Learning Motion-Oriented Registers for Driving World Models and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.14871/) (2026)
- [DriveWLA: Unifying Future Dynamics and Scene Semantics through World-Language-Action Modeling for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.17903/) (2026)
- [VITAL: From Visual Motion to Precise Action](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.20604/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Data scaling plays a pivotal role in the pursuit of general intelligence. However, the prevailing perception-planning paradigm in autonomous driving relies heavily on expensive manual annotations to supervise trajectory planning, which severely limits its scalability. Conversely, although existing perception-free driving world models achieve impressive driving performance, their real-world reasoning ability for planning is solely built on next frame image forecasting. Due to the lack of enough supervision, these models often struggle with comprehensive scene understanding, resulting in unsatisfactory trajectory planning. In this paper, we propose EponaV2, a novel paradigm of driving world models, which achieves high-quality planning with comprehensive future reasoning. Inspired by how human drivers anticipate 3D geometry and semantics, we train our model to forecast more comprehensive future representations, which can be additionally decoded to future geometry and semantic maps. Extracting the 3D and semantic modalities enables our model to deeply understand the surrounding environment, and the future prediction task significantly enhances the real-world reasoning capabilities of EponaV2, ultimately leading to improved trajectory planning. Moreover, inspired by the training recipe of Large Language Models (LLMs), we introduce a flow matching group relative policy optimization mechanism to further improve planning accuracy. The state-of-the-art (SOTA) performances of EponaV2 among perception-free models on three NAVSIM benchmarks (+1.3PDMS, +5.5EPDMS) demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods.
