# No One Knows the State of the Art in Geospatial Foundation Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12678 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.12678/

## Key facts

- Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 65 of its 79 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 65)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [Segment Anything](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.02643/) (2023)
- [Emerging Properties in Self-Supervised Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14294/) (2021)
- [LAION-5B: An open large-scale dataset for training next generation image-text models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.08402/) (2022)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.04615/) (2022)
- [EuroSAT: A Novel Dataset and Deep Learning Benchmark for Land Use and Land Cover Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.00029/) (2017)
- [Conceptual 12M: Pushing Web-Scale Image-Text Pre-Training To Recognize Long-Tail Visual Concepts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.08981/) (2021)
- [Remote Sensing Image Scene Classification: Benchmark and State of the Art](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.00121/) (2017)
- [DOTA: A Large-scale Dataset for Object Detection in Aerial Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.10398/) (2017)
- [A Large-scale Study of Representation Learning with the Visual Task Adaptation Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.04867/) (2019)
- [AID: A Benchmark Dataset for Performance Evaluation of Aerial Scene Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.05167/) (2016)
- [Object Detection in Optical Remote Sensing Images: A Survey and A New Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.00133/) (2019)
- [Functional Map of the World](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.07846/) (2017)
- [Scale-MAE: A Scale-Aware Masked Autoencoder for Multiscale Geospatial Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.14532/) (2022)
- [Seasonal Contrast: Unsupervised Pre-Training from Uncurated Remote Sensing Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.16607/) (2021)
- [Accounting for Variance in Machine Learning Benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03098/) (2021)
- [EarthGPT: A Universal Multi-modal Large Language Model for Multi-sensor Image Comprehension in Remote Sensing Domain](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.16822/) (2024)
- [CROMA: Remote Sensing Representations with Contrastive Radar-Optical Masked Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.00566/) (2023)
- [SatlasPretrain: A Large-Scale Dataset for Remote Sensing Image Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.15660/) (2022)
- [FAIR1M: A Benchmark Dataset for Fine-grained Object Recognition in High-Resolution Remote Sensing Imagery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.05569/) (2021)
- [AlphaEarth Foundations: An embedding field model for accurate and efficient global mapping from sparse label data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.22291/) (2025)
- [The Benchmark Lottery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.07002/) (2021)
- [GEO-Bench: Toward Foundation Models for Earth Monitoring](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03831/) (2023)
- [Towards Geospatial Foundation Models via Continual Pretraining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04476/) (2023)
- [Troubling Trends in Machine Learning Scholarship](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.03341/) (2018)

## Built on by (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Toward Mechanistic Interpretability of an AI Foundation Model Fine-Tuned for Atmospheric Chemistry](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.20778/) (2026)
- [Beyond Accuracy: Assessing Calibration of Geospatial Foundation Models and Their Sensitivity to Distribution Shifts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.16614/) (2026)
- [Scalable and Trustworthy Earth Observation Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.07758/) (2026)
- [Now We Know? A Systematic Comparison of TerraMind and THOR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.18504/) (2026)
- [Earth Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.03410/) (2026)
- [Earth Observation Foundation Models for Terrestrial Ecohydrology: From Representation Learning to Process Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.15282/) (2026)
- [Geospatial Foundation Models Capture Health-Relevant Dimensions of Place Beyond Conventional Social Risk Indices](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.11689/) (2026)
- [Reuse or Relearn? A Spectral View of Earth Observation Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.32756/) (2026)
- [When local gains fail to transfer: Frozen Earth-observation embeddings across wildfires](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.34602/) (2026)
- [T-JEPA: A Temporal Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture for Learning Better Remote Sensing Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.05731/) (2026)
- [Transferability and operational reliability of a Prithvi crop classification foundation model under phenological and geographic shift across three continents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.08810/) (2026)
- [Strategic Governance of AI Models in Earth Science](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.10560/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Geospatial foundation models (GFMs) have been proposed as generalizable backbones for disaster response, land-cover mapping, food-security monitoring, and other high-stakes Earth-observation tasks. Yet the published work about these models does not give reviewers or users enough information to tell which model fits a given task. We argue that nobody knows what the current state of the art is in geospatial foundation models. The methods may be useful, but the GFM literature does not standardize evaluations, training and testing protocols, released weights, or pretraining controls well enough for anyone to compare or rank them. In a 152-paper audit, we find 46 cross-paper disagreements of at least 10 points for the same model, benchmark, and protocol; 94/126 papers with extractable pretraining data use a configuration no other paper uses; and 39% of GFM papers release no model weights. This lack of community standards can be solved. We propose six concrete expectations: named-license weight release, shared core evaluations, copied-versus-rerun baseline annotations, variance reporting, one shared evaluation harness, and data-vs-architecture-vs-algorithm controls. These gaps are a coordination failure, not a fault of any individual lab; the authors of this paper, like many others in the GFM community, have contributed to them. Rather than just critiquing the community, we aim to provide concrete steps toward a shared understanding of how to innovate GFMs.