# Limits of Learning Linear Dynamics from Experiments

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.12010 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.12010/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 29 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Learning Without Mixing: Towards A Sharp Analysis of Linear System Identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.08334/) (2018)
- [Dynamic mode decomposition with control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.6358/) (2014)
- [Near optimal finite time identification of arbitrary linear dynamical systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.01251/) (2018)
- [Gradient Descent Learns Linear Dynamical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.05191/) (2016)
- [Identifiability Analysis of Linear Ordinary Differential Equation Systems with a Single Trajectory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.05660/) (2021)
- [An Interventional Perspective on Identifiability in Gaussian LTI Systems with Independent Component Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.18048/) (2023)
- [Uncovering differential equations from data with hidden variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.02250/) (2020)
- [Identifiability Challenges in Sparse Linear Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09816/) (2025)
- [Identifiability Analysis of Linear ODE Systems with Hidden Confounders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.21917/) (2024)
- [On Controllability and Persistency of Excitation in Data-Driven Control: Extensions of Willems' Fundamental Lemma](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.02953/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Learning governing dynamics from data is a common goal across the sciences, yet it is only well-posed when the underlying mechanisms are identifiable. In practice, many data-driven methods implicitly assume identifiability; when this assumption fails, estimated models can yield spurious predictions and invalid mechanistic conclusions. Classical identifiability guarantees for controlled linear time-invariant (LTI) systems provide sufficient conditions -- controllability and persistent excitation -- but leave open whether identifiability holds when these conditions fail, and which parts of the system remain identifiable without full identifiability. We show that the experimental setup, i.e., the realized initial state and control input, dictates a fundamental limit on the information recoverable from the observed trajectory. We develop a geometric characterization of this limit and derive a closed-form description of all systems consistent with the experimental setup. Crucially, we prove that even when the full system is not identifiable, the restricted dynamics on the subspace reachable by the experiment remain uniquely determined.
