# Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.05520 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.05520/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 17 of its 68 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 May 2026.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Flow matching, time series and science](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/flow-matching-time-series-and-science/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02502/) (2020)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Diffusion Models Beat GANs on Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.05233/) (2021)
- [Improved Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09672/) (2021)
- [Elucidating the Design Space of Diffusion-Based Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.00364/) (2022)
- [Diffusion Posterior Sampling for General Noisy Inverse Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.14687/) (2022)
- [Denoising Diffusion Restoration Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11793/) (2022)
- [Solving Inverse Problems in Medical Imaging with Score-Based Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.08005/) (2021)
- [Revisiting Classifier Two-Sample Tests](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.06545/) (2016)
- [Practical and Asymptotically Exact Conditional Sampling in Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.17775/) (2023)
- [A Variational Perspective on Solving Inverse Problems with Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04391/) (2023)
- [A Survey on Diffusion Models for Inverse Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.00083/) (2024)
- [Improving Diffusion Inverse Problem Solving with Decoupled Noise Annealing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01521/) (2024)
- [Variational Diffusion Posterior Sampling with Midpoint Guidance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.09945/) (2024)
- [A Mixture-Based Framework for Guiding Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.03332/) (2025)
- [CREPE: Controlling Diffusion with Replica Exchange](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.23265/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Commercial Microwave Links (CMLs) offer dense spatial coverage for rainfall sensing but produce path-integrated measurements that make accurate ground-level reconstruction challenging. Existing methods typically oversimplify CMLs as point sensors and neglect line integration relating rainfall to signal attenuation, resulting in degraded performance under heterogeneous precipitation. In this work, we view rain field reconstruction as a Bayesian inverse problem with Diffusion Models (DMs) as high-fidelity spatial priors. We show that diffusion models better preserve key rainfall statistics compared to censored Gaussian processes. Framing rainfall estimation as a Bayesian inverse problem with a DM prior enables training-free posterior sampling using a broad family of methods, including Plug-and-Play, Sequential Monte Carlo, and Replica Exchange methods. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over established CML-based reconstruction baselines.