# Rollout Pass-Rate Control: Steering Binary-Reward RL Toward Its Most Informative Regime

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.05112 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.05112/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reinforcement learning for LLM agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 25 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 May 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Reinforcement learning for LLM agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/reinforcement-learning-for-llm-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06770/) (2023)
- [DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14476/) (2025)
- [Learning to Reason under Off-Policy Guidance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.14945/) (2025)
- [R2E-Gym: Procedural Environments and Hybrid Verifiers for Scaling Open-Weights SWE Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.07164/) (2025)
- [Learning What Reinforcement Learning Can't: Interleaved Online Fine-Tuning for Hardest Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07527/) (2025)
- [AceReason-Nemotron: Advancing Math and Code Reasoning through Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16400/) (2025)
- [SRFT: A Single-Stage Method with Supervised and Reinforcement Fine-Tuning for Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.19767/) (2025)
- [UFT: Unifying Supervised and Reinforcement Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16984/) (2025)
- [Expanding the Capabilities of Reinforcement Learning via Text Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.02482/) (2026)
- [POPE: Learning to Reason on Hard Problems via Privileged On-Policy Exploration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.18779/) (2026)
- [StepHint: Multi-level Stepwise Hints Enhance Reinforcement Learning to Reason](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.02841/) (2025)
- [Boosting MLLM Reasoning with Text-Debiased Hint-GRPO](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.23905/) (2025)
- [Let It Flow: Agentic Crafting on Rock and Roll, Building the ROME Model within an Open Agentic Learning Ecosystem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.24873/) (2025)
- [Experiential Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.13949/) (2026)
- [Self-Hinting Language Models Enhance Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.03143/) (2026)
- [Staying in the Sweet Spot: Responsive Reasoning Evolution via Capability-Adaptive Hint Scaffolding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.06923/) (2025)
- [Reuse your FLOPs: Scaling RL on Hard Problems by Conditioning on Very Off-Policy Prefixes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.18795/) (2026)
- [How to Allocate, How to Learn? Dynamic Rollout Allocation and Advantage Modulation for Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.19208/) (2026)
- [ADHint: Adaptive Hints with Difficulty Priors for Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.13095/) (2025)
- [Composition-RL: Compose Your Verifiable Prompts for Reinforcement Learning of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.12036/) (2026)
- [iGRPO: Self-Feedback-Driven LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.09000/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Executable Prefix Values for Locating Agent Failures](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.17633/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Agentic reinforcement learning (RL) for software engineering spends much of its compute on stateful trajectories whose grouped binary rewards are highly skewed and weakly contrastive. We frame this as pass-rate control and show that the binary reward-side signal is strongest near a 50% rollout pass rate under four criteria: reward entropy, group-filtering survival, leave-one-out (RLOO) advantage energy under Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), and success-failure pair count. We propose Prefix Sampling (PS), which replays self-generated trajectory prefixes to steer skewed groups toward this regime: successful prefixes give mostly failing groups a head start, while failing prefixes handicap mostly passing groups. Replayed states are reconstructed through the existing rollout path, and replayed tokens are masked from the loss so optimization applies only to current-policy continuations. On SWE-bench Verified, PS reaches the baseline high-score regime within evaluation variability while delivering 2.01x and 1.55x end-to-end wall-clock speedups on Qwen3-14B and Qwen3-32B; the 14B peak improves from 0.274 to 0.295. AIME 2025 experiments on 4B and 8B show the same pass-rate-control pattern, and 4B ablations attribute gains to replay, bidirectional coverage, and adaptive control.
