# Bilinear Mamba-Koopman Neural MPC for Varying Dynamics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.04793 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.04793/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Time series forecasting with SSMs, one of 10 directions in State-space sequence models (S4, Mamba).
- Builds on 9 of its 30 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 May 2026.

## Placed in

- State-space sequence models (S4, Mamba) / [Time series forecasting with SSMs](https://mlsanity.com/ssm/time-series-forecasting-with-ssms/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00752/) (2023)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Deep learning for universal linear embeddings of nonlinear dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.09707/) (2017)
- [OSQP: An Operator Splitting Solver for Quadratic Programs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.08013/) (2017)
- [Linear predictors for nonlinear dynamical systems: Koopman operator meets model predictive control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.03537/) (2016)
- [Sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics for model predictive control in the low-data limit](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.05501/) (2017)
- [Learning Compositional Koopman Operators for Model-Based Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.08264/) (2019)
- [Deep Koopman Learning of Nonlinear Time-Varying Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.06272/) (2022)
- [Successive Convexification: A Superlinearly Convergent Algorithm for Non-convex Optimal Control Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.06539/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Koopman-based neural MPC models generate time-varying dynamics from historical data, but preserve convexity by enforcing that the system operator is independent of the current control input. This conditional independence constraint limits adaptation to changing dynamics within a single MPC horizon, particularly under time-varying conditions and under stale-plan execution. We propose Bilinear Mamba-Koopman Neural MPC, a minimal extension that introduces control-dependent coupling in the latent dynamics, allowing the effective operator to adapt to the current input. The resulting model is a strict generalization of the standard linear, conditional-independence formulation, adds less than 1% parameters through a low-rank structure, and admits exact model Jacobians that enable efficient Sequential Convex Programming (SCP) with monotone-descent and KKT convergence results under standard trust-region assumptions. Across CartPole and RSCP benchmarks in time-invariant and time-varying regimes, the proposed model matches or improves forecasting accuracy on every cell when training noise is averaged out, with strict gains where control-state coupling is structurally present. Its main closed-loop gains appear in the RSCP TV task, where iterative SCP improves adaptation within the horizon and substantially stabilizes training; in CartPole TV, the gains are modest but consistent. In delayed re-planning experiments on the time-varying variants, the bilinear model degrades more gracefully under stale-plan execution, maintaining a consistent advantage on CartPole TV and a substantially larger robustness margin on RSCP TV. These results show that control-dependent latent dynamics provide a simple and effective mechanism for robust MPC under varying conditions.