# Discovering Sparse Counterfactual Factors via Latent Adjustment for Survey-based Community Intervention

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.04460 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.04460/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 7 of its 32 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Counterfactual Explanations and Algorithmic Recourses for Machine Learning: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.10596/) (2020)
- [Counterfactual Explanations as Interventions in Latent Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.07754/) (2021)
- [Nonnegative Matrix Factorization in Dimensionality Reduction: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.03615/) (2024)
- [Distributional Counterfactual Explanations With Optimal Transport](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.13112/) (2024)
- [Identifying latent activity behaviors and lifestyles using mobility data to describe urban dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.12095/) (2022)
- [Counterfactual Explanations for Deep Learning-Based Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.00456/) (2024)
- [Importance-aware Topic Modeling for Discovering Public Transit Risk from Noisy Social Media](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.06293/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Transportation surveys are widely used to understand travel preferences and adoption barriers, yet most survey-based analyses remain descriptive or predictive and rarely provide sparse, policy-feasible intervention strategies. We study sparse counterfactual community intervention from survey responses, where the goal is to shift a target respondent group toward a desired reference group through controllable survey-variable adjustments. We formulate this task as a policy-feasible distributional alignment problem using a fixed-basis nonnegative latent representation that preserves pre/post comparability and provides a stable map from latent factors to original variables. To make latent movement actionable, target-relevant latent factors are identified through Shapley-guided attribution and transferred to controllable variables as intervention priorities. Feasible group-level adjustments are then learned by minimizing an entropy-regularized optimal-transport discrepancy between the post-intervention target distribution and the reference distribution, together with a weighted ℓ2,1 penalty that promotes shared policy-lever sparsity. Experiments on real-world transportation survey datasets show that the proposed framework produces compact and interpretable policy-feasible interventions with explicit adjustment magnitudes, improves population-level conversion, and preserves intervention sparsity. Code and datasets are publicly available at: https://github.com/pangjunbiao/latent-group-alignment.git
