# An explainable hypothesis-driven approach to Drug-Induced Liver Injury with HADES

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.02669 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.02669/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 4 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [TxAgent: An AI Agent for Therapeutic Reasoning Across a Universe of Tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.10970/) (2025)
- [Agent AI with LangGraph: A Modular Framework for Enhancing Machine Translation Using Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.03801/) (2024)
- [ToolUniverse: An open platform for democratizing AI scientists](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.23426/) (2025)
- [ToxReason: A Benchmark for Mechanistic Chemical Toxicity Reasoning via Adverse Outcome Pathway](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.06264/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Drug-induced liver injury (DILI) remains a leading cause of late-stage clinical trial attrition. However, existing computational predictors primarily rely on binary classification, a framing that limits generalization and yields no mechanistic insight to guide translational decisions. We argue that DILI prediction is better posed as an explainable hypothesis-generation problem. To support this shift, we introduce the DILER Benchmark, a dataset that extends beyond binary labels by augmenting a curated set of molecules with mechanistic hepatotoxicity hypotheses derived from biomedical literature. We further present HADES, an agentic system designed to generate transparent and auditable reasoning traces. By combining molecular-level predictions, metabolite decomposition, structural understanding, and toxicity pathway evidence, HADES mechanistically assesses DILI risk. Evaluated on the DILER Benchmark, HADES outperforms existing models in binary classification, achieving a ROC-AUC of 0.68 on the Test Set and 0.59 on the challenging Post-2021 Set, compared with 0.63 and 0.50 for DILI-Predictor, respectively. More importantly, we establish a baseline for mechanistic hypothesis generation, where HADES achieves a Hypothesis Alignment Fuzzy Jaccard Index of 0.16. This result underscores the inherent complexity of the task while highlighting the need for advanced explainable approaches in predictive toxicology.
