# Anticipation-VLA: Solving Long-Horizon Embodied Tasks via Anticipation-based Subgoal Generation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.01772 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.01772/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Generalist VLA models and benchmarks, one of 13 directions in Vision-language-action models.
- Builds on 42 of its 50 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 May 2026.

## Placed in

- Vision-language-action models / [Generalist VLA models and benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/vla/generalist-vla-models-and-benchmarks/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 42)

- [Qwen2.5-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13923/) (2025)
- [RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models Transfer Web Knowledge to Robotic Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15818/) (2023)
- [OpenVLA: An Open-Source Vision-Language-Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09246/) (2024)
- [π0: A Vision-Language-Action Flow Model for General Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.24164/) (2024)
- [π0.5: a Vision-Language-Action Model with Open-World Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.16054/) (2025)
- [Octo: An Open-Source Generalist Robot Policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.12213/) (2024)
- [LIBERO: Benchmarking Knowledge Transfer for Lifelong Robot Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03310/) (2023)
- [GR00T N1: An Open Foundation Model for Generalist Humanoid Robots](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14734/) (2025)
- [Emerging Properties in Unified Multimodal Pretraining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.14683/) (2025)
- [Fine-Tuning Vision-Language-Action Models: Optimizing Speed and Success](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.19645/) (2025)
- [CoT-VLA: Visual Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.22020/) (2025)
- [WorldVLA: Towards Autoregressive Action World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.21539/) (2025)
- [Unleashing Large-Scale Video Generative Pre-training for Visual Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.13139/) (2023)
- [3D-VLA: A 3D Vision-Language-Action Generative World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.09631/) (2024)
- [TraceVLA: Visual Trace Prompting Enhances Spatial-Temporal Awareness for Generalist Robotic Policies](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.10345/) (2024)
- [π*0.6: a VLA That Learns From Experience](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.14759/) (2025)
- [GR-2: A Generative Video-Language-Action Model with Web-Scale Knowledge for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.06158/) (2024)
- [EmbodiedGPT: Vision-Language Pre-Training via Embodied Chain of Thought](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.15021/) (2023)
- [Zero-Shot Robotic Manipulation with Pretrained Image-Editing Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.10639/) (2023)
- [DreamVLA: A Vision-Language-Action Model Dreamed with Comprehensive World Knowledge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.04447/) (2025)
- [PaliGemma 2: A Family of Versatile VLMs for Transfer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.03555/) (2024)
- [Unified Video Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.00200/) (2025)
- [DexVLA: Vision-Language Model with Plug-In Diffusion Expert for General Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05855/) (2025)
- [PIVOT: Iterative Visual Prompting Elicits Actionable Knowledge for VLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.07872/) (2024)
- [RoboMIND: Benchmark on Multi-embodiment Intelligence Normative Data for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.13877/) (2024)
- [VLABench: A Large-Scale Benchmark for Language-Conditioned Robotics Manipulation with Long-Horizon Reasoning Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.18194/) (2024)
- [Gen2Act: Human Video Generation in Novel Scenarios enables Generalizable Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.16283/) (2024)
- [SimpleVLA-RL: Scaling VLA Training via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.09674/) (2025)
- [Unified Vision-Language-Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.19850/) (2025)
- [Emu3.5: Native Multimodal Models are World Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.26583/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [τ0-VLA: a Hierarchical Robot Foundation Model with World-Model-Guided Test-Time Computation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.16885/) (2026)
- [What Language Does and What the Evidence Supports: A Functional Role Taxonomy and Evidence Audit of Language Grounding in Embodied Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.03099/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have emerged as a powerful paradigm for embodied intelligence, enabling robots to perform tasks based on natural language instructions and current visual input. However, existing VLA models struggle with long-horizon tasks due to compounding errors. Prior methods decompose tasks into subtasks of fixed granularity, which cannot adapt to the varying complexity of execution states, limiting their robustness in long-horizon tasks. To overcome this, we introduce Anticipation Model, which adaptively and recursively generates future subgoals. This model continuously adapts as the task unfolds, adjusting future subgoals in response to evolving dynamics, facilitating more reliable planning paths. Building on this concept, we propose Anticipation-VLA, a hierarchical VLA model that leverages the anticipation model to generate actionable subgoals that guide VLA policy execution. We implement Anticipation-VLA with finetuning a Unified Multimodal Model (UMM) for high-level subgoal generation and a goal-conditioned VLA policy for low-level action execution. Experiments in both simulated and real-world robotic tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of Anticipation-VLA, highlighting the importance of adaptive and recursive subgoal generation for robust policy execution.