# Minimal, Local, Causal Explanations for Jailbreak Success in Large Language Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.00123 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.00123/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Jailbreaking, one of 12 directions in LLM safety and security.
- Builds on 35 of its 52 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Apr 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM safety and security / [Jailbreaking](https://mlsanity.com/safety/jailbreaking/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 35)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [Training a Helpful and Harmless Assistant with Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.05862/) (2022)
- [Universal and Transferable Adversarial Attacks on Aligned Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15043/) (2023)
- [Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05262/) (2022)
- [A Survey on Large Language Model based Autonomous Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.11432/) (2023)
- [HarmBench: A Standardized Evaluation Framework for Automated Red Teaming and Robust Refusal](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.04249/) (2024)
- [Sparse Autoencoders Find Highly Interpretable Features in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.08600/) (2023)
- [Jailbreaking Black Box Large Language Models in Twenty Queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08419/) (2023)
- [Representation Engineering: A Top-Down Approach to AI Transparency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01405/) (2023)
- [Llama Guard: LLM-based Input-Output Safeguard for Human-AI Conversations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06674/) (2023)
- [Refusal in Language Models Is Mediated by a Single Direction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11717/) (2024)
- [Toy Models of Superposition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.10652/) (2022)
- [Steering Language Models With Activation Engineering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.10248/) (2023)
- [AutoDAN: Generating Stealthy Jailbreak Prompts on Aligned Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04451/) (2023)
- [The Linear Representation Hypothesis and the Geometry of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.03658/) (2023)
- [Baseline Defenses for Adversarial Attacks Against Aligned Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.00614/) (2023)
- [Gemma Scope: Open Sparse Autoencoders Everywhere All At Once on Gemma 2](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.05147/) (2024)
- [Great, Now Write an Article About That: The Crescendo Multi-Turn LLM Jailbreak Attack](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.01833/) (2024)
- [How to use and interpret activation patching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.15255/) (2024)
- [Do I Know This Entity? Knowledge Awareness and Hallucinations in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.14257/) (2024)
- [The Geometry of Refusal in Large Language Models: Concept Cones and Representational Independence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.17420/) (2025)
- [JailbreakRadar: Comprehensive Assessment of Jailbreak Attacks Against LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.05668/) (2024)
- [LLMs Encode Harmfulness and Refusal Separately](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.11878/) (2025)
- [On the Role of Attention Heads in Large Language Model Safety](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.13708/) (2024)
- [Towards Understanding Jailbreak Attacks in LLMs: A Representation Space Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.10794/) (2024)
- [JBShield: Defending Large Language Models from Jailbreak Attacks through Activated Concept Analysis and Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.07557/) (2025)
- [Constitutional Classifiers++: Efficient Production-Grade Defenses against Universal Jailbreaks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.04603/) (2026)
- [AdaSteer: Your Aligned LLM is Inherently an Adaptive Jailbreak Defender](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.09466/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Safety trained large language models (LLMs) can often be induced to answer harmful requests through jailbreak prompts. Because we lack a robust understanding of why LLMs are susceptible to jailbreaks, future frontier models operating more autonomously in higher-stakes settings may similarly be vulnerable to such attacks. Prior work has studied jailbreak success by examining the model's intermediate representations, identifying directions in this space that causally encode concepts like harmfulness and refusal. Then, they globally explain all jailbreak attacks as attempting to reduce or strengthen these concepts (e.g., reduce harmfulness). However, different jailbreak strategies may succeed by strengthening or suppressing different intermediate concepts, and the same jailbreak strategy may not work for different harmful request categories (e.g., violence vs. cyberattack); thus, we seek to give a local explanation -- i.e., why did this specific jailbreak succeed? To address this gap, we introduce LOCA, a method that gives Local, CAusal explanations of jailbreak success by identifying a minimal set of interpretable, intermediate representation changes that causally induce model refusal on an otherwise successful jailbreak request. We evaluate LOCA on harmful original-jailbreak pairs from a large jailbreak benchmark across Gemma, Llama, and Qwen chat models, comparing against prior methods adapted to this setting. LOCA can successfully induce refusal by making, on average, six interpretable changes; prior work routinely fails to achieve refusal even after 20 changes. LOCA is a step toward mechanistic, local explanations of jailbreak success in LLMs. Code publicly available at https://github.com/skumar-ml/loca-jailbreaks