# Calibrating Attribution Proxies for Reward Allocation in Participatory Weather Sensing

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.27944 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.27944/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Axiomatic Attribution for Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.01365/) (2017)
- [Deep Inside Convolutional Networks: Visualising Image Classification Models and Saliency Maps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1312.6034/) (2013)
- [Data Shapley: Equitable Valuation of Data for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.02868/) (2019)
- [Towards Efficient Data Valuation Based on the Shapley Value](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10275/) (2019)
- [Spherical Fourier Neural Operators: Learning Stable Dynamics on the Sphere](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03838/) (2023)
- [FourCastNet: Accelerating Global High-Resolution Weather Forecasting using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.05419/) (2022)
- [Beta Shapley: a Unified and Noise-reduced Data Valuation Framework for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14049/) (2021)
- [Physically Interpretable Neural Networks for the Geosciences: Applications to Earth System Variability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01752/) (2019)
- [To incentivize or not: Impact of blockchain-based cryptoeconomic tokens on human information sharing behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.03221/) (2022)
- [Strategic Coalition for Data Pricing in IoT Data Markets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07785/) (2022)
- [DePIN: A Framework for Token-Incentivized Participatory Sensing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.16495/) (2024)
- [Agent-Based Modelling of Ethereum Consensus](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13906/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large-scale IoT weather sensing networks require incentive mechanisms to sustain participation, yet determining how much value individual data contributions bring to the network remains an open problem. Existing approaches address data quality but not data valuation; in operational meteorology, adjoint-based methods derive value from the forecast model itself but require full data assimilation infrastructure. We propose to utilise differentiable AI weather models to fill this gap and characterise gradient-based attribution on gridded GFS analysis inputs as a candidate value signal, evaluating fidelity, calibration, cost, and gaming vulnerability across more than 400 configurations. Attribution captures near-optimal sensor placement utility with monotonically faithful payments, but can be inflated by adversarial inputs, with detection requiring external baseline data. These findings establish gradient attribution as a computationally validated signal for model-informed reward allocation in participatory weather sensing.