# Energy-Arena: A Dynamic Benchmark for Operational Energy Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.24705 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.24705/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 8 of its 18 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 8 of 8)

- [ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.19839/) (2024)
- [Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.08004/) (2020)
- [fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.26468/) (2025)
- [Forecast Evaluation for Data Scientists: Common Pitfalls and Best Practices](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.10716/) (2022)
- [Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.02832/) (2022)
- [Leveraging Asynchronous Cross-border Market Data for Improved Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting in European Markets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.13250/) (2025)
- [TS-Arena -- A Live Forecast Pre-Registration Platform](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.20761/) (2025)
- [Multivariate Scenario Generation of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices using Normalizing Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.14033/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [A Benchmark for Electrical Load Forecasting Across Grid Levels: Time-Series Transformers Outperform Established Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.15705/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Energy forecasting research faces a persistent comparability gap that makes it difficult to measure consistent progress over time. Reported accuracy gains are often not directly comparable because models are evaluated under study-specific datasets, time periods, information sets, and scoring setups, while widely used benchmarks and competition datasets are typically tied to fixed historical windows. This paper introduces the Energy-Arena, a dynamic benchmarking platform for operational energy time series forecasting that provides a continuously updated reference point as energy systems evolve. The platform operates as an open, API-based submission system and standardizes challenge definitions and submission deadlines aligned with operational constraints. Performance is reported on rolling evaluation windows via persistent leaderboards. By moving from retrospective backtesting to forward-looking benchmarking, the Energy-Arena enforces standardized ex-ante submission and ex-post evaluation, thereby improving transparency by preventing information leakage and retroactive tuning. The platform is publicly available at Energy-Arena.org.
