# MetaErr: Towards Predicting Error Patterns in Deep Neural Networks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.23289 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.23289/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 33 of its 55 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 33)

- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
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- [Fashion-MNIST: a Novel Image Dataset for Benchmarking Machine Learning Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.07747/) (2017)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Encoder-Decoder with Atrous Separable Convolution for Semantic Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.02611/) (2018)
- [What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04977/) (2017)
- [Energy-based Out-of-distribution Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03759/) (2020)
- [End to End Learning for Self-Driving Cars](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1604.07316/) (2016)
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- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [Deep Bayesian Active Learning with Image Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.02910/) (2017)
- [Object Detection with Deep Learning: A Review](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.05511/) (2018)
- [Pseudo-Labeling and Confirmation Bias in Deep Semi-Supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.02983/) (2019)
- [Age Progression/Regression by Conditional Adversarial Autoencoder](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.08423/) (2017)
- [SelectiveNet: A Deep Neural Network with an Integrated Reject Option](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.09192/) (2019)
- [Learning Loss for Active Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.03677/) (2019)
- [On Mixup Training: Improved Calibration and Predictive Uncertainty for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11001/) (2019)
- [Label Propagation for Deep Semi-supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.04717/) (2019)
- [Interpolation Consistency Training for Semi-Supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.03825/) (2019)
- [Deep Deterministic Uncertainty: A Simple Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.11582/) (2021)
- [Are Labels Always Necessary for Classifier Accuracy Evaluation?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.02915/) (2020)
- [Structured and Efficient Variational Deep Learning with Matrix Gaussian Posteriors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.04733/) (2016)
- [Association of genomic subtypes of lower-grade gliomas with shape features automatically extracted by a deep learning algorithm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.03720/) (2019)
- [Bayesian Uncertainty Estimation for Batch Normalized Deep Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.06455/) (2018)
- [What Does Rotation Prediction Tell Us about Classifier Accuracy under Varying Testing Environments?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.05961/) (2021)
- [Understanding Failures of Deep Networks via Robust Feature Extraction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.01750/) (2020)
- [Towards Accountable AI: Hybrid Human-Machine Analyses for Characterizing System Failure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.07424/) (2018)
- [Classification Uncertainty of Deep Neural Networks Based on Gradient Information](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.08440/) (2018)
- [Estimating Accuracy from Unlabeled Data: A Probabilistic Logic Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07086/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Due to the unprecedented success of deep learning, it has become an integral component in several multimedia computing applications in todays world. Unfortunately, deep learning systems are not perfect and can fail, sometimes abruptly, without prior warning or explanation. While reducing the error rate of deep neural networks has been the primary focus of the multimedia community, the problem of predicting when a deep learning system is going to fail has received significantly less research attention. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective framework, MetaErr, to address this under-explored problem in deep learning research. We train a meta-model whose goal is to predict whether a base deep neural network will succeed or fail in predicting a particular data sample, by observing the base models performance on a given learning task. The meta-model is completely agnostic of the architecture and training parameters of the base model. Such an error prediction system can be immensely useful in a variety of smart multimedia applications. Our empirical studies corroborate the promise and potential of our framework against competing baselines. We further demonstrate the usefulness of our framework to improve the performance of pseudo-labeling-based semi-supervised learning, and show that MetaErr outperforms several strong baselines on three benchmark computer vision datasets.