# A satellite foundation model for improved wealth monitoring

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.23166 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.23166/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 22 of its 54 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [Emerging Properties in Self-Supervised Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14294/) (2021)
- [Layer Normalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.06450/) (2016)
- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- [RoFormer: Enhanced Transformer with Rotary Position Embedding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.09864/) (2021)
- [Gaussian Error Linear Units (GELUs)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.08415/) (2016)
- [FlashAttention-2: Faster Attention with Better Parallelism and Work Partitioning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.08691/) (2023)
- [DINOv3](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.10104/) (2025)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [Deep Networks with Stochastic Depth](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.09382/) (2016)
- [iBOT: Image BERT Pre-Training with Online Tokenizer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.07832/) (2021)
- [PyTorch FSDP: Experiences on Scaling Fully Sharded Data Parallel](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.11277/) (2023)
- [SatMAE: Pre-training Transformers for Temporal and Multi-Spectral Satellite Imagery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.08051/) (2022)
- [Prithvi-EO-2.0: A Versatile Multi-Temporal Foundation Model for Earth Observation Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.02732/) (2024)
- [Spreading vectors for similarity search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.03198/) (2018)
- [Neural Plasticity-Inspired Multimodal Foundation Model for Earth Observation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.15356/) (2024)
- [Using satellite imagery to understand and promote sustainable development](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.06988/) (2020)
- [SSL4EO-L: Datasets and Foundation Models for Landsat Imagery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09424/) (2023)
- [Generating Interpretable Poverty Maps using Object Detection in Satellite Images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.01612/) (2020)
- [Micro-Estimates of Wealth for all Low- and Middle-Income Countries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.07761/) (2021)
- [Poverty Mapping Using Convolutional Neural Networks Trained on High and Medium Resolution Satellite Images, With an Application in Mexico](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.06323/) (2017)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Spatial Representation Learning Beyond Pixels: Unifying Raster Data and Vector Semantics for Human-Centric Geospatial Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.02374/) (2026)
- [Transfer Learning for Socioeconomic Estimation in Forced-Displacement Settings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.15773/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Poverty statistics guide social policy, but in many low- and middle-income countries, censuses and household surveys that collect these data are costly, infrequent, quickly outdated, and sometimes error-prone. Satellite imagery offers global coverage and the possibility of predicting economic livelihoods at scale, yet existing approaches to predicting livelihoods with imagery or other non-traditional data often fail to reliably identify local-level variation and, as we show, degrade under temporal shift. Here we introduce Tempov, a satellite foundation model pretrained by self-supervision on three million bi-temporal Landsat pairs and adapted with parameter-efficient fine-tuning to sparse survey labels. The model enables large-scale, high-resolution wealth mapping and dynamic measurement, including zero-shot nowcasting up to a decade after observed labels, retrospective hindcasting, and decadal change tracking, while outperforming existing neural network and geospatial foundation-model baselines. In low-label regimes, Tempov achieves competitive accuracy with only 10% of survey samples, indicating substantially reduced dependence on expensive label collection. The model further generalizes across populous countries within and outside Africa, and scales to a unified Africa-wide model with strong continent-level performance (R2=0.63, r2=0.68), from which we generate high-resolution decadal maps of wealth and wealth changes for the African continent. Analysis of these maps shows large variation in recent economic performance both within and across countries. Our open-source approach provides a pathway to timely, scalable, low-cost monitoring of wealth and poverty from routinely collected satellite data.
