# A Hybridizable Neural Time Integrator for Stable Autoregressive Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.21101 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.21101/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 23 of its 47 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 23 of 23)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [An Image is Worth 16x16 Words: Transformers for Image Recognition at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.11929/) (2020)
- [Swin Transformer: Hierarchical Vision Transformer using Shifted Windows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.14030/) (2021)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Swin-Unet: Unet-like Pure Transformer for Medical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.05537/) (2021)
- [VideoGPT: Video Generation using VQ-VAE and Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.10157/) (2021)
- [Message Passing Neural PDE Solvers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03376/) (2022)
- [Stable Architectures for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.03341/) (2017)
- [Transolver: A Fast Transformer Solver for PDEs on General Geometries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02366/) (2024)
- [PDE-Refiner: Achieving Accurate Long Rollouts with Neural PDE Solvers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05732/) (2023)
- [Poseidon: Efficient Foundation Models for PDEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.19101/) (2024)
- [Data-Driven Forecasting of High-Dimensional Chaotic Systems with Long Short-Term Memory Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.07486/) (2018)
- [The Well: a Large-Scale Collection of Diverse Physics Simulations for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.00568/) (2024)
- [Towards Foundation Models for Scientific Machine Learning: Characterizing Scaling and Transfer Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00258/) (2023)
- [Transformers for Modeling Physical Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03957/) (2020)
- [Multiple Physics Pretraining for Physical Surrogate Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02994/) (2023)
- [Transformers without Normalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.10622/) (2025)
- [A Comprehensive Survey of Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Architectural Diversity and Open Challenges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.05793/) (2024)
- [Defining Foundation Models for Computational Science: A Call for Clarity and Rigor](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.22904/) (2025)
- [Structure-Preserving Digital Twins via Conditional Neural Whitney Forms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.06981/) (2025)
- [Structure-Preserving Learning Improves Geometry Generalization in Neural PDEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.02788/) (2026)
- [Unstructured space-time finite element methods for optimal control of parabolic equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.02014/) (2020)

## Abstract (arXiv)

For autoregressive modeling of chaotic dynamical systems over long time horizons, the stability of both training and inference is a major challenge in building scientific foundation models. We present a hybrid technique in which an autoregressive transformer is embedded within a novel shooting-based mixed finite element scheme, exposing topological structure that enables provable stability. For forward problems, we prove preservation of discrete energies, while for training we prove uniform bounds on gradients, provably avoiding the exploding gradient problem. Combined with a vision transformer, this yields latent tokens admitting structure-preserving dynamics. We outperform modern foundation models with a 65× reduction in model parameters and long-horizon forecasting of chaotic systems. A "mini-foundation" model of a fusion component shows that 12 simulations suffice to train a real-time surrogate, achieving a 9,000× speedup over particle-in-cell simulation.
