# MambaKick: Early Penalty Direction Prediction from HAR Embeddings

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.16588 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.16588/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 18 of its 27 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00752/) (2023)
- [Quo Vadis, Action Recognition? A New Model and the Kinetics Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07750/) (2017)
- [Non-local Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.07971/) (2017)
- [SlowFast Networks for Video Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.03982/) (2018)
- [Is Space-Time Attention All You Need for Video Understanding?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.05095/) (2021)
- [Spatial Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks for Skeleton-Based Action Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1801.07455/) (2018)
- [Two-Stream Convolutional Networks for Action Recognition in Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.2199/) (2014)
- [Realtime Multi-Person 2D Pose Estimation using Part Affinity Fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.08050/) (2016)
- [Multiscale Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.11227/) (2021)
- [ByteTrack: Multi-Object Tracking by Associating Every Detection Box](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.06864/) (2021)
- [X3D: Expanding Architectures for Efficient Video Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.04730/) (2020)
- [MViTv2: Improved Multiscale Vision Transformers for Classification and Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.01526/) (2021)
- [A Large-Scale Study on Unsupervised Spatiotemporal Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14558/) (2021)
- [SoccerNet: A Scalable Dataset for Action Spotting in Soccer Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.04527/) (2018)
- [A Context-Aware Loss Function for Action Spotting in Soccer Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01326/) (2019)
- [Classifying Soccer Ball-on-Goal Position Through Kicker Shooting Action](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.15236/) (2023)
- [Predicting Soccer Penalty Kick Direction Using Human Action Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.12617/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Can Vision-Language Models Judge Olympic Diving? From Reasoning to Scores in Zero-Shot Action Quality Assessment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.19354/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Penalty kicks in soccer are decided under extreme time constraints, where goalkeepers benefit from anticipating shot direction from the kickers motion before or around ball contact. In this paper, MambaKick is presented as a learning-based framework for penalty direction prediction that leverages pretrained human action recognition (HAR) embeddings extracted from contact-centered short video segments and combines them with a lightweight temporal predictor. Rather than relying on explicit kinematic reconstruction or handcrafted biomechanical features, the approach reuses transferable spatiotemporal representations and utilizes selective state-spare models (Mamba) for efficient sequence aggregation. Simple contextual metadata (e.g., field side and footedness) are also considered as complementary cues that may reduce ambiguity in real-world footage. Across a range of HAR backbones, MambaKick consistently improves or matches strong embedding baselines, achieving up to 53.1% accuracy for three classes and 64.5% for two classes under the proposed methodology. Overall, the results indicate that combining pretrained HAR representations with efficient state-space temporal modeling is a practical direction for low-latency intention prediction in real-world sports video. The code will be available at GitHub: https://github.com/hvelesaca/MambaKick/