# Evaluation of Agents under Simulated AI Marketplace Dynamics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.14256 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.14256/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in General LLM agent frameworks and benchmarks, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 47 of its 101 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Apr 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [General LLM agent frameworks and benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/agents/general-llm-agent-frameworks-and-benchmarks/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 47)

- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [Gemini 2.5: Pushing the Frontier with Advanced Reasoning, Multimodality, Long Context, and Next Generation Agentic Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.06261/) (2025)
- [Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03442/) (2023)
- [Self-RAG: Learning to Retrieve, Generate, and Critique through Self-Reflection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11511/) (2023)
- [Search-R1: Training LLMs to Reason and Leverage Search Engines with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.09516/) (2025)
- [τ-bench: A Benchmark for Tool-Agent-User Interaction in Real-World Domains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12045/) (2024)
- [gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Card](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.10925/) (2025)
- [RouteLLM: Learning to Route LLMs with Preference Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.18665/) (2024)
- [WildChat: 1M ChatGPT Interaction Logs in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.01470/) (2024)
- [Kimi K2.5: Visual Agentic Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.02276/) (2026)
- [Adaptive-RAG: Learning to Adapt Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models through Question Complexity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.14403/) (2024)
- [Ragas: Automated Evaluation of Retrieval Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.15217/) (2023)
- [Reward learning from human preferences and demonstrations in Atari](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.06521/) (2018)
- [RouterBench: A Benchmark for Multi-LLM Routing System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.12031/) (2024)
- [AI Agents That Matter](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01502/) (2024)
- [Simulating Classroom Education with LLM-Empowered Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.19226/) (2024)
- [AutoMix: Automatically Mixing Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.12963/) (2023)
- [Evaluating Retrieval Quality in Retrieval-Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.13781/) (2024)
- [Degenerate Feedback Loops in Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10730/) (2019)
- [Evaluating Stochastic Rankings with Expected Exposure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.13157/) (2020)
- [Retrieval-Enhanced Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.01230/) (2022)
- [Measuring the Business Value of Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.08328/) (2019)
- [USimAgent: Large Language Models for Simulating Search Users](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.09142/) (2024)
- [Ragnar"ok: A Reusable RAG Framework and Baselines for TREC 2024 Retrieval-Augmented Generation Track](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.16828/) (2024)
- [User Simulation for Evaluating Information Access Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08550/) (2023)
- [Online Learning to Rank in Stochastic Click Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.02527/) (2017)
- [An Efficiency Study for SPLADE Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.03834/) (2022)
- [Towards a Search Engine for Machines: Unified Ranking for Multiple Retrieval-Augmented Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.00175/) (2024)
- [LLM Economist: Large Population Models and Mechanism Design in Multi-Agent Generative Simulacra](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.15815/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Multi-Agent Transactive Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.19911/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Modern information access ecosystems consist of mixtures of systems, such as retrieval systems and large language models, and increasingly rely on marketplaces to mediate access to models, tools, and data, making competition between systems inherent to deployment. In such settings, outcomes are shaped not only by benchmark quality but also by competitive pressure, including user switching, routing decisions, and operational constraints. Yet evaluation is still largely conducted on static benchmarks with accuracy-focused measures that assume systems operate in isolation. This mismatch makes it difficult to predict post-deployment success and obscures competitive effects such as early-adoption advantages and market dominance. We introduce Marketplace Evaluation, a simulation-based paradigm that evaluates information access systems as participants in a competitive marketplace. By simulating repeated interactions and evolving user and agent preferences, the framework enables longitudinal evaluation and marketplace-level metrics, such as retention and market share, that complement and can extend beyond traditional accuracy-based metrics. We formalize the framework and outline a research agenda, motivated by business and economics, around marketplace simulation, metrics, optimization, and adoption in evaluation campaigns like TREC.
