# From Topology to Trajectory: LLM-Driven World Models For Supply Chain Resilience

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.11041 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.11041/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in World models for language agents, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 24 of its 40 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Apr 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [World models for language agents](https://mlsanity.com/wm/world-models-for-language-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 24 of 24)

- [Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03314/) (2024)
- [World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10122/) (2018)
- [Mastering Atari, Go, Chess and Shogi by Planning with a Learned Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08265/) (2019)
- [Learning Latent Dynamics for Planning from Pixels](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.04551/) (2018)
- [WorldSimBench: Towards Video Generation Models as World Simulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.18072/) (2024)
- [CRITIC: Large Language Models Can Self-Correct with Tool-Interactive Critiquing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.11738/) (2023)
- [Learning to (Learn at Test Time): RNNs with Expressive Hidden States](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.04620/) (2024)
- [Contrastive Learning of Structured World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.12247/) (2019)
- [Transformer Tracking with Cyclic Shifting Window Attention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.03806/) (2022)
- [Compact Transformer Tracker with Correlative Masked Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.10938/) (2023)
- [Semantic-Aware Logical Reasoning via a Semiotic Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.24765/) (2025)
- [Coupled Mamba: Enhanced Multi-modal Fusion with Coupled State Space Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.18014/) (2024)
- [ICL-Router: In-Context Learned Model Representations for LLM Routing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.09719/) (2025)
- [SF2T: Self-supervised Fragment Finetuning of Video-LLMs for Fine-Grained Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.07745/) (2025)
- [Logical Phase Transitions: Understanding Collapse in LLM Logical Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.02902/) (2026)
- [GA-S3: Comprehensive Social Network Simulation with Group Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.03532/) (2025)
- [Autogenic Language Embedding for Coherent Point Tracking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.20730/) (2024)
- [OR-LLM-Agent: Automating Modeling and Solving of Operations Research Optimization Problems with Reasoning LLM](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.10009/) (2025)
- [Coupling Macro Dynamics and Micro States for Long-Horizon Social Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.05516/) (2026)
- [MVP: Winning Solution to SMP Challenge 2025 Video Track](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.00950/) (2025)
- [Learning from Trials and Errors: Reflective Test-Time Planning for Embodied LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.21198/) (2026)
- [SupplyGraph: A Benchmark Dataset for Supply Chain Planning using Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.15299/) (2024)
- [An Agentic Framework with LLMs for Solving Complex Vehicle Routing Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.16701/) (2025)
- [LLMs as Strategic Actors: Behavioral Alignment, Risk Calibration, and Argumentation Framing in Geopolitical Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.02128/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Semiconductor supply chains face unprecedented resilience challenges amidst global geopolitical turbulence. Conventional Large Language Model (LLM) planners, when confronting such non-stationary "Policy Black Swan" events, frequently suffer from Decision Paralysis or a severe Grounding Gap due to the absence of physical environmental modeling. This paper introduces ReflectiChain, a cognitive agentic framework tailored for resilient macroeconomic supply chain planning. The core innovation lies in the integration of Latent Trajectory Rehearsal powered by a generative world model, which couples reflection-in-action (System 2 deliberation) with delayed reflection-on-action. Furthermore, we leverage a Retrospective Agentic RL mechanism to enable autonomous policy evolution during the deployment phase (test-time). Evaluations conducted on our high-fidelity benchmark, Semi-Sim, demonstrate that under extreme scenarios such as export bans and material shortages, ReflectiChain achieves a 250% improvement in average step rewards over the strongest LLM baselines. It successfully restores the Operability Ratio (OR) from a deficient 13.3% to over 88.5% while ensuring robust gradient convergence. Ablation studies further underscore that the synergy between physical grounding constraints and double-loop learning is fundamental to bridging the gap between semantic reasoning and physical reality for long-horizon strategic planning.
