# EvoNash-MARL: A Closed-Loop Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Framework for Medium-Horizon Equity Allocation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.10911 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.10911/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 24 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Multi-Agent Actor-Critic for Mixed Cooperative-Competitive Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02275/) (2017)
- [Population Based Training of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.09846/) (2017)
- [A Unified Game-Theoretic Approach to Multiagent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00832/) (2017)
- [FinRL: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Library for Automated Stock Trading in Quantitative Finance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.09607/) (2020)
- [AlphaStock: A Buying-Winners-and-Selling-Losers Investment Strategy using Interpretable Deep Reinforcement Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.02646/) (2019)
- [A Survey on Self-play Methods in Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.01072/) (2024)
- [Sample-Efficient Robust Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning in the Face of Environmental Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.18909/) (2024)
- [The Max-Min Formulation of Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learning: From Theory to a Model-Free Algorithm](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.07826/) (2024)
- [Constrained Reinforcement Learning Under Model Mismatch](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.01327/) (2024)
- [Near-Optimal Reinforcement Learning with Self-Play under Adaptivity Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.01111/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Agentic Trading: When LLM Agents Meet Financial Markets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.19337/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Medium- to long-horizon equity allocation is challenging due to weak predictive structure, non-stationary market regimes, and the degradation of signals under realistic trading constraints. Conventional approaches often rely on single predictors or loosely coupled pipelines, which limit robustness under distributional shift. This paper proposes EvoNash-MARL, a closed-loop framework that integrates reinforcement learning with population-based policy optimization and execution-aware selection to improve robustness in medium- to long-horizon allocation. The framework combines multi-agent policy populations, game-theoretic aggregation, and constraint-aware validation within a unified walk-forward design. Under a 120-window walk-forward protocol, the final configuration achieves the highest robust score among internal baselines. On out-of-sample data from 2014 to 2024, it delivers a 19.6% annualized return, compared to 11.7% for SPY, and remains stable under extended evaluation through 2026. While the framework demonstrates consistent performance under realistic constraints and across market settings, strong global statistical significance is not established under White's Reality Check (WRC) and SPA-lite tests. The results therefore provide evidence of improved robustness rather than definitive proof of superior market timing performance.