# FACT-E: Causality-Inspired Evaluation for Trustworthy Chain-of-Thought Reasoning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.10693 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.10693/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Prompting and chain-of-thought reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 29 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 Apr 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Prompting and chain-of-thought reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/prompting-and-chain-of-thought-reasoning/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 29 of 29)

- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11916/) (2022)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.10625/) (2022)
- [Large Language Models Cannot Self-Correct Reasoning Yet](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01798/) (2023)
- [Measuring Faithfulness in Chain-of-Thought Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.13702/) (2023)
- [Question Decomposition Improves the Faithfulness of Model-Generated Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.11768/) (2023)
- [Algorithm of Thoughts: Enhancing Exploration of Ideas in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.10379/) (2023)
- [Self-Polish: Enhance Reasoning in Large Language Models via Problem Refinement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14497/) (2023)
- [Thought Propagation: An Analogical Approach to Complex Reasoning with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.03965/) (2023)
- [Think-While-Generating: On-the-Fly Reasoning for Personalized Long-Form Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.06690/) (2025)
- [FaithCoT-Bench: Benchmarking Instance-Level Faithfulness of Chain-of-Thought Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.04040/) (2025)
- [Certified Robustness for Large Language Models with Self-Denoising](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.07171/) (2023)
- [Measuring the Faithfulness of Thinking Drafts in Large Reasoning Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.13774/) (2025)
- [Causal Sufficiency and Necessity Improves Chain-of-Thought Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09853/) (2025)
- [Semantic-Space Exploration and Exploitation in RLVR for LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.23808/) (2025)
- [Double: Breaking the Acceleration Limit via Double Retrieval Speculative Parallelism](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.05524/) (2026)
- [MTR-Bench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Multi-Turn Reasoning Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17123/) (2025)
- [Reasoning Elicitation in Language Models via Counterfactual Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.03767/) (2024)
- [A Theoretical Understanding of Chain-of-Thought: Coherent Reasoning and Error-Aware Demonstration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16540/) (2024)
- [How Well Can Reasoning Models Identify and Recover from Unhelpful Thoughts?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.10979/) (2025)
- [Spark: Strategic Policy-Aware Exploration via Dynamic Branching for Long-Horizon Agentic Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.20209/) (2026)
- [Unveiling and Causalizing CoT: A Causal Pespective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18239/) (2025)
- [DiffCoT: Diffusion-styled Chain-of-Thought Reasoning in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.03559/) (2026)
- [Unsupervised Causal Prototypical Networks for De-biased Interpretable Dermoscopy Diagnosis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.23752/) (2026)
- [GCoT-Decoding: Unlocking Deep Reasoning Paths for Universal Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.06794/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Thinking With Tools, Not With Pixels: Tool Calls as Text Scaffolds for Visual Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.09682/) (2026)
- [Diagnosing LLM Arbitration Behavior over Pre-evidence Epistemic States in RAG-based Fact-Checking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.01120/) (2026)
- [IDEA: An Interpretable and Editable Decision-Making Framework for LLMs via Verbal-to-Numeric Calibration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.12573/) (2026)
- [GFGE: Unifying Explainable AI Methods through an Interpretation Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.05225/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Chain-of-Thought (CoT) prompting has improved LLM reasoning, but models often generate explanations that appear coherent while containing unfaithful intermediate steps. Existing self-evaluation approaches are prone to inherent biases: the model may confidently endorse coherence even when the step-to-step implication is not valid, leading to unreliable faithfulness evaluation. We propose FACT-E, a causality-inspired framework for evaluating CoT quality. FACT-E uses controlled perturbations as an instrumental signal to separate genuine step-to-step dependence from bias-driven artifacts, producing more reliable faithfulness estimates (textitintra-chain faithfulness). To select trustworthy trajectories, FACT-E jointly considers textitintra-chain faithfulness and textitCoT-to-answer consistency, ensuring that selected chains are both faithful internally and supportive of the correct final answer. Experiments on GSM8K, MATH, and CommonsenseQA show that FACT-E improves reasoning-trajectory selection and yields stronger in-context learning exemplars. FACT-E also reliably detects flawed reasoning under noisy conditions, providing a robust metric for trustworthy LLM reasoning.
