# No Coin Left Behind: Maximizing Strategic Surplus Against No-Regret Dynamics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.05129 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.05129/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 30 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Convex Optimization: Algorithms and Complexity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.4980/) (2014)
- [Bias no more: high-probability data-dependent regret bounds for adversarial bandits and MDPs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.08040/) (2020)
- [Strategizing against No-regret Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.13861/) (2019)
- [Fighting Bandits with a New Kind of Smoothness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.04152/) (2015)
- [Strategizing against Learners in Bayesian Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.08562/) (2022)
- [Survival of the strictest: Stable and unstable equilibria under regularized learning with partial information](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.04667/) (2021)
- [Contracting with a Learning Agent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.16198/) (2024)
- [Is Learning in Games Good for the Learners?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19496/) (2023)
- [Matrix games with bandit feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.05145/) (2020)
- [A continuous-time approach to online optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1401.6956/) (2014)
- [Maximizing utility in multi-agent environments by anticipating the behavior of other learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.04889/) (2024)
- [Generalized Principal-Agent Problem with a Learning Agent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.09721/) (2024)
- [From No-Regret to Strategically Robust Learning in Repeated Auctions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.03853/) (2026)
- [Learning Local Stackelberg Equilibria from Repeated Interactions with a Learning Agent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.22471/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We investigate the strategic surplus obtainable against a Follow-the-Regularized-Leader (FTRL) learner with constant step size η in n× m two-player zero-sum games played over T rounds against a clairvoyant optimizer. In contrast with prior analysis, we show that the extraction of such regret-scale surplus is an inherent feature of the FTRL family, rather than an artifact of specific instantiations. First, for a fixed max-min optimizer, we establish a sweeping law of order Omega(Nsub/η), proving that utility surplus scales with the number of the learner's suboptimal actions N and vanishes in their absence. Second, for an alternating optimizer, a surplus of Omega(η T/poly(n,m)) can be guaranteed regardless of the equilibrium structure, with high probability, in random games. Our analysis uncovers a sharp geometric dichotomy: non-steep regularizers allow the optimizer to realize the maximal transient surplus via finite-time elimination of suboptimal actions, whereas steep regularizers introduce a vanishing tail correction that can delay surplus saturation. Finally, we discuss whether this leverage persists under bilateral payoff uncertainty and propose a susceptibility measure quantifying which regularizers are most vulnerable to learner-aware strategic steering.
