# VALOR: Value-Aware Revenue Uplift Modeling with Treatment-Gated Representation for B2B Sales

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02472 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.02472/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 20 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [DeepFM: A Factorization-Machine based Neural Network for CTR Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.04247/) (2017)
- [Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03461/) (2017)
- [Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08821/) (2017)
- [Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.04912/) (2017)
- [DCN V2: Improved Deep & Cross Network and Practical Lessons for Web-scale Learning to Rank Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.13535/) (2020)
- [Estimating Counterfactual Treatment Outcomes over Time Through Adversarially Balanced Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.04083/) (2020)
- [Causal Transformer for Estimating Counterfactual Outcomes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.07258/) (2022)
- [Estimating Treatment Effects with Causal Forests: An Application](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.07409/) (2019)
- [A unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity modeling and uplift modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.12769/) (2020)
- [Explicit Feature Interaction-aware Uplift Network for Online Marketing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00315/) (2023)
- [E-Commerce Promotions Personalization via Online Multiple-Choice Knapsack with Uplift Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.13298/) (2021)
- [Free Lunch! Retrospective Uplift Modeling for Dynamic Promotions Recommendation within ROI Constraints](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.06293/) (2020)
- [Learning to rank for uplift modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05897/) (2020)
- [DESCN: Deep Entire Space Cross Networks for Individual Treatment Effect Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.09920/) (2022)
- [Response Transformation and Profit Decomposition for Revenue Uplift Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08729/) (2019)
- [Rankability-enhanced Revenue Uplift Modeling Framework for Online Marketing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.15301/) (2024)
- [Decision Focused Causal Learning for Direct Counterfactual Marketing Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.13664/) (2024)
- [Robustness-enhanced Uplift Modeling with Adversarial Feature Desensitization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.04693/) (2023)
- [Robust Uplift Modeling with Large-Scale Contexts for Real-time Marketing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.15697/) (2025)
- [Interpretable Multiple Treatment Revenue Uplift Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.03336/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

B2B sales organizations must identify "persuadable" accounts within zero-inflated revenue distributions to optimize expensive human resource allocation. Standard uplift frameworks struggle with treatment signal collapse in high-dimensional spaces and a misalignment between regression calibration and the ranking of high-value "whales." We introduce VALOR (Value Aware Learning of Optimized (B2B) Revenue), a unified framework featuring a Treatment-Gated Sparse-Revenue Network that uses bilinear interaction to prevent causal signal collapse. The framework is optimized via a novel Cost-Sensitive Focal-ZILN objective that combines a focal mechanism for distributional robustness with a value-weighted ranking loss that scales penalties based on financial magnitude. To provide interpretability for high-touch sales programs, we further derive Robust ZILN-GBDT, a tree based variant utilizing a custom splitting criterion for uplift heterogeneity. Extensive evaluations confirm VALOR's dominance, achieving a 20% improvement in rankability over state-of-the-art methods on public benchmarks and delivering a validated 2.7x increase in incremental revenue per account in a rigorous 4-month production A/B test.
