# Evaluating Small Language Models for Front-Door Routing: A Harmonized Benchmark and Synthetic-Traffic Experiment

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02367 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.02367/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 65 of its 91 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Mar 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 65)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
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- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
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- [Llama 2: Open Foundation and Fine-Tuned Chat Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09288/) (2023)
- [Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.11903/) (2022)
- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.06180/) (2023)
- [Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.11171/) (2022)
- [Think you have Solved Question Answering? Try ARC, the AI2 Reasoning Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.05457/) (2018)
- [Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11916/) (2022)
- [HellaSwag: Can a Machine Really Finish Your Sentence?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.07830/) (2019)
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- [Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.06538/) (2017)
- [Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10601/) (2023)
- [Mistral 7B](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06825/) (2023)
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- [Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15556/) (2022)
- [Neural Machine Translation of Rare Words with Subword Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1508.07909/) (2015)
- [FlashAttention-2: Faster Attention with Better Parallelism and Work Partitioning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.08691/) (2023)
- [Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07682/) (2022)
- [G-Eval: NLG Evaluation using GPT-4 with Better Human Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.16634/) (2023)
- [Beyond the Imitation Game: Quantifying and extrapolating the capabilities of language models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.04615/) (2022)
- [Gemma 2: Improving Open Language Models at a Practical Size](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.00118/) (2024)
- [SentencePiece: A simple and language independent subword tokenizer and detokenizer for Neural Text Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.06226/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Selecting the appropriate model at inference time -- the routing problem -- requires jointly optimizing output quality, cost, latency, and governance constraints. Existing approaches delegate this decision to LLM-based classifiers or preference-trained routers that are themselves costly and high-latency, reducing a multi-objective optimization to single-dimensional quality prediction. We argue that small language models (SLMs, 1-4B parameters) have now achieved sufficient reasoning capability for sub-second, zero-marginal-cost, self-hosted task classification, potentially making the routing decision negligible in the inference budget. We test this thesis on a six-label taxonomy through two studies. Study 1 is a harmonized offline benchmark of Phi-3.5-mini, Qwen2.5-1.5B, and Qwen-2.5-3B on identical Azure T4 hardware, serving stack, quantization, and a fixed 60-case corpus. Qwen-2.5-3B achieves the best exact-match accuracy (0.783), the strongest latency-accuracy tradeoff, and the only nonzero accuracy on all six task families. Study 2 is a pre-registered four-arm randomized experiment under synthetic traffic with an effective sample size of 60 unique cases per arm, comparing Phi-4-mini, Qwen-2.5-3B, and DeepSeek-V3 against a no-routing control. DeepSeek-V3 attains the highest accuracy (0.830) but fails the pre-registered P95 latency gate (2,295 ms); Qwen-2.5-3B is Pareto-dominant among self-hosted models (0.793 accuracy, 988 ms median, 0 marginal cost). No model meets the standalone viability criterion (>=0.85 accuracy, <=2,000 ms P95). The cost and latency prerequisites for SLM-based routing are met; the accuracy gap of 6-8 percentage points and the untested question of whether correct classification translates to downstream output quality bound the remaining distance to production viability.