# YieldSAT: A Multimodal Benchmark Dataset for High-Resolution Crop Yield Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.00940 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.00940/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 22 of its 59 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Apr 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensembles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.01474/) (2016)
- [Convolutional LSTM Network: A Machine Learning Approach for Precipitation Nowcasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.04214/) (2015)
- [Depth Map Prediction from a Single Image using a Multi-Scale Deep Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.2283/) (2014)
- [Scientific Machine Learning through Physics-Informed Neural Networks: Where we are and What's next](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.05624/) (2022)
- [Bayesian Deep Learning and a Probabilistic Perspective of Generalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08791/) (2020)
- [Deep Ensembles: A Loss Landscape Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.02757/) (2019)
- [Physics Informed Deep Learning (Part I): Data-driven Solutions of Nonlinear Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.10561/) (2017)
- [SkySense: A Multi-Modal Remote Sensing Foundation Model Towards Universal Interpretation for Earth Observation Imagery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.10115/) (2023)
- [Foundation Models for Remote Sensing and Earth Observation: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16602/) (2024)
- [On the Foundations of Earth and Climate Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.04285/) (2024)
- [Crop Classification under Varying Cloud Cover with Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.02542/) (2020)
- [Corn Yield Prediction with Ensemble CNN-DNN](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.14351/) (2021)
- [An Open and Large-Scale Dataset for Multi-Modal Climate Change-aware Crop Yield Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.06081/) (2024)
- [Distribution Shifts at Scale: Out-of-distribution Detection in Earth Observation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.13394/) (2024)
- [Adaptive Fusion of Multi-view Remote Sensing data for Optimal Sub-field Crop Yield Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.11844/) (2024)
- [Predicting Crop Yield With Machine Learning: An Extensive Analysis Of Input Modalities And Models On a Field and sub-field Level](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08948/) (2023)
- [Data-Centric Digital Agriculture: A Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.03437/) (2023)
- [Winter wheat yield prediction using convolutional neural networks from environmental and phenological data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.01282/) (2021)
- [Exploring Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Crop Yield Loss Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.00502/) (2024)
- [An Analysis of Temporal Dropout in Earth Observation Time Series for Regression Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.06915/) (2025)
- [Informed Learning for Estimating Drought Stress at Fine-Scale Resolution Enables Accurate Yield Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.18648/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [BELDE: Building a Large-scale Earth-observation Land-cover Dataset for Europe](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.20909/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Crop yield prediction requires substantial data to train scalable models. However, creating yield prediction datasets is constrained by high acquisition costs, heterogeneous data quality, and data privacy regulations. Consequently, existing datasets are scarce, low in quality, or limited to regional levels or single crop types, hindering the development of scalable data-driven solutions. In this work, we release YieldSAT, a large, high-quality, and multimodal dataset for high-resolution crop yield prediction. YieldSAT spans various climate zones across multiple countries, including Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Germany, and includes major crop types, including corn, rapeseed, soybeans, and wheat, across 2,173 expert-curated fields. In total, over 12.2 million yield samples are available, each with a spatial resolution of 10 m. Each field is paired with multispectral satellite imagery, resulting in 113,555 labeled satellite images, complemented by auxiliary environmental data. We demonstrate the potential of large-scale and high-resolution crop yield prediction as a pixel regression task by comparing various deep learning models and data fusion architectures. Furthermore, we highlight open challenges arising from severe distribution shifts in the ground truth data under real-world conditions. To mitigate this, we explore a domain-informed Deep Ensemble approach that exhibits significant performance gains. The dataset is available at https://yieldsat.github.io/.
