# Entropic Claim Resolution: Uncertainty-Driven Evidence Selection for RAG

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.28444 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.28444/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in RAG robustness and adaptive retrieval, one of 15 directions in Retrieval-augmented generation.
- Builds on 7 of its 16 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Mar 2026.

## Placed in

- Retrieval-augmented generation / [RAG robustness and adaptive retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/rag/rag-robustness-and-adaptive-retrieval/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [Dense Passage Retrieval for Open-Domain Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.04906/) (2020)
- [Tree of Thoughts: Deliberate Problem Solving with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10601/) (2023)
- [Self-RAG: Learning to Retrieve, Generate, and Critique through Self-Reflection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11511/) (2023)
- [From Local to Global: A Graph RAG Approach to Query-Focused Summarization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.16130/) (2024)
- [CSR-RAG: An Efficient Retrieval System for Text-to-SQL on the Enterprise Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.06564/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Current Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems predominantly rely on relevance-based dense retrieval, sequentially fetching documents to maximize semantic similarity with the query. However, in knowledge-intensive and real-world scenarios characterized by conflicting evidence or fundamental query ambiguity, relevance alone is insufficient for resolving epistemic uncertainty. We introduce Entropic Claim Resolution (ECR), a novel inference-time algorithm that reframes RAG reasoning as entropy minimization over competing semantic answer hypotheses. Unlike action-driven agentic frameworks (e.g., ReAct) or fixed-pipeline RAG architectures, ECR sequentially selects atomic evidence claims by maximizing Expected Entropy Reduction (EER), a decision-theoretic criterion for the value of information. The process dynamically terminates when the system reaches a mathematically defined state of epistemic sufficiency (H <= epsilon, subject to epistemic coherence). We integrate ECR into a production-grade multi-strategy retrieval pipeline (CSGR++) and analyze its theoretical properties. Our framework provides a rigorous foundation for uncertainty-aware evidence selection, shifting the paradigm from retrieving what is most relevant to retrieving what is most discriminative.
