# Learning Rollout from Sampling:An R1-Style Tokenized Traffic Simulation Model

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.24989 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.24989/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 29 of its 33 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Mar 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 29 of 29)

- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [Hierarchical Neural Story Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.04833/) (2018)
- [Beyond the 80/20 Rule: High-Entropy Minority Tokens Drive Effective Reinforcement Learning for LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.01939/) (2025)
- [Large Scale Interactive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving : The Waymo Open Motion Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.10133/) (2021)
- [The Entropy Mechanism of Reinforcement Learning for Reasoning Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.22617/) (2025)
- [Causal Confusion in Imitation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.11979/) (2019)
- [MotionLM: Multi-Agent Motion Forecasting as Language Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.16534/) (2023)
- [Imitation Is Not Enough: Robustifying Imitation with Reinforcement Learning for Challenging Driving Scenarios](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.11419/) (2022)
- [Locally Typical Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.00666/) (2022)
- [AlphaDrive: Unleashing the Power of VLMs in Autonomous Driving via Reinforcement Learning and Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.07608/) (2025)
- [DriveArena: A Closed-loop Generative Simulation Platform for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.00415/) (2024)
- [The Waymo Open Sim Agents Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12032/) (2023)
- [Trajeglish: Traffic Modeling as Next-Token Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.04535/) (2023)
- [BehaviorGPT: Smart Agent Simulation for Autonomous Driving with Next-Patch Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17372/) (2024)
- [Gen-Drive: Enhancing Diffusion Generative Driving Policies with Reward Modeling and Reinforcement Learning Fine-tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05582/) (2024)
- [Solving Motion Planning Tasks with a Scalable Generative Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.02797/) (2024)
- [Closed-Loop Supervised Fine-Tuning of Tokenized Traffic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.05334/) (2024)
- [CarPlanner: Consistent Auto-regressive Trajectory Planning for Large-scale Reinforcement Learning in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.19908/) (2025)
- [SMART: Scalable Multi-agent Real-time Motion Generation via Next-token Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.15677/) (2024)
- [Plan-R1: Safe and Feasible Trajectory Planning as Language Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17659/) (2025)
- [Plan Then Action:High-Level Planning Guidance Reinforcement Learning for LLM Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.01833/) (2025)
- [KiGRAS: Kinematic-Driven Generative Model for Realistic Agent Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.12940/) (2024)
- [UniMM: A Unified Mixture Model Framework for Multi-Agent Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.17015/) (2025)
- [DRoPE: Directional Rotary Position Embedding for Efficient Agent Interaction Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.15029/) (2025)
- [GAMMA: A General Agent Motion Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.01566/) (2019)
- [PLAN-TUNING: Post-Training Language Models to Learn Step-by-Step Planning for Complex Problem Solving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.07495/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Bridging Local Observation and Global Simulation in Closed-Loop Traffic Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.31844/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Learning diverse and high-fidelity traffic simulations from human driving demonstrations is crucial for autonomous driving evaluation. The recent next-token prediction (NTP) paradigm, widely adopted in large language models (LLMs), has been applied to traffic simulation and achieves iterative improvements via supervised fine-tuning (SFT). However, such methods limit active exploration of potentially valuable motion tokens, particularly in suboptimal regions. Entropy patterns provide a promising perspective for enabling exploration driven by motion token uncertainty. Motivated by this insight, we propose a novel tokenized traffic simulation policy, R1Sim, which represents an initial attempt to explore reinforcement learning based on motion token entropy patterns, and systematically analyzes the impact of different motion tokens on simulation outcomes. Specifically, we introduce an entropy-guided adaptive sampling mechanism that focuses on previously overlooked motion tokens with high uncertainty yet high potential. We further optimize motion behaviors using Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO), guided by a safety-aware reward design. Overall, these components enable a balanced exploration-exploitation trade-off through diverse high-uncertainty sampling and group-wise comparative estimation, resulting in realistic, safe, and diverse multi-agent behaviors. Extensive experiments on the Waymo Sim Agent benchmark demonstrate that R1Sim achieves competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods.
