# Self-Supervised Learning for Knee Osteoarthritis: Diagnostic Limitations and Prognostic Value of Hospital Data

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.24903 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.24903/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 20 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Mar 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [A Simple Framework for Contrastive Learning of Visual Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.05709/) (2020)
- [Masked Autoencoders Are Scalable Vision Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.06377/) (2021)
- [Emerging Properties in Self-Supervised Vision Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.14294/) (2021)
- [Optuna: A Next-generation Hyperparameter Optimization Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.10902/) (2019)
- [Improved Baselines with Momentum Contrastive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.04297/) (2020)
- [Barlow Twins: Self-Supervised Learning via Redundancy Reduction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03230/) (2021)
- [CheXpert: A Large Chest Radiograph Dataset with Uncertainty Labels and Expert Comparison](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.07031/) (2019)
- [VICReg: Variance-Invariance-Covariance Regularization for Self-Supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.04906/) (2021)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [ChestX-ray8: Hospital-scale Chest X-ray Database and Benchmarks on Weakly-Supervised Classification and Localization of Common Thorax Diseases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.02315/) (2017)
- [Contrastive Learning of Medical Visual Representations from Paired Images and Text](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.00747/) (2020)
- [Big Self-Supervised Models Advance Medical Image Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.05224/) (2021)
- [Automatic Knee Osteoarthritis Diagnosis from Plain Radiographs: A Deep Learning-Based Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10589/) (2017)
- [A new paradigm for accelerating clinical data science at Stanford Medicine](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.10534/) (2020)
- [Deep learning predicts total knee replacement from magnetic resonance images](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.10591/) (2020)
- [CNN-JEPA: Self-Supervised Pretraining Convolutional Neural Networks Using Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.07514/) (2024)
- [A Progressive Risk Formulation for Enhanced Deep Learning based Total Knee Replacement Prediction in Knee Osteoarthritis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.10119/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Masked and Predictive Self-Supervised Foundation Models for 3D Brain MRI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.13315/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This study assesses whether self-supervised learning (SSL) improves knee osteoarthritis (OA) modeling for diagnosis and prognosis relative to ImageNet-pretrained initialization. We compared (i) image-only SSL pretrained on knee radiographs from the OAI, MOST, and NYU cohorts, and (ii) multimodal image-text SSL pretrained on hospital knee radiographs paired with radiologist impressions. For diagnostic Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade prediction, SSL yielded mixed results. While image-only SSL improved accuracy during linear probing (frozen encoder), it did not outperform ImageNet pretraining during full fine-tuning. Similarly, multimodal SSL failed to improve grading performance. A likely explanation is mismatch between the hospital pretraining corpus and the downstream diagnostic task: the hospital image-text dataset was restricted to knees from patients with clinically identified OA in routine care, rather than a cohort spanning the full spectrum from normal to severe disease needed for balanced KL grading. In addition, radiology impressions do not explicitly encode KL grade, limiting supervision for learning KL-specific decision boundaries. In contrast, this same multimodal initialization significantly improved prognostic modeling. It outperformed ImageNet baselines in predicting 4-year structural incidence and progression, including on external validation (MOST AUROC: 0.701 vs. 0.599 at 10% labeled data). Overall, these results suggest that our hospital image-text data may be less effective for diagnostic grading when the pretraining cohort is limited to OA knees, but can provide a strong signal for prognostic modeling when the downstream task is better aligned with the pretraining data distribution.