# Active Inference Agency Formalization, Metrics, and Convergence Assessments

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.21319 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.21319/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in General LLM agent frameworks and benchmarks, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 6 of its 15 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 22 Mar 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [General LLM agent frameworks and benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/agents/general-llm-agent-frameworks-and-benchmarks/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 6 of 6)

- [Curiosity-driven Exploration by Self-supervised Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.05363/) (2017)
- [Error bounds for approximations with deep ReLU networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1610.01145/) (2016)
- [Risks from Learned Optimization in Advanced Machine Learning Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.01820/) (2019)
- [Dynamics-Aware Comparison of Learned Reward Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.10081/) (2022)
- [STARC: A General Framework For Quantifying Differences Between Reward Functions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.15257/) (2023)
- [Computational Irreducibility as the Foundation of Agency: A Formal Model Connecting Undecidability to Autonomous Behavior in Complex Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.04646/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This paper addresses the critical challenge of mesa-optimization in AI safety by providing a formal definition of agency and a framework for its analysis. Agency is conceptualized as a Continuous Representation of accumulated experience that achieves autopoiesis through a dynamic balance between curiosity (minimizing prediction error to ensure non-computability and novelty) and empowerment (maximizing the control channel's information capacity to ensure subjectivity and goal-directedness). Empirical evidence suggests that this active inference-based model successfully accounts for classical instrumental goals, such as self-preservation and resource acquisition. The analysis demonstrates that the proposed agency function is smooth and convex, possessing favorable properties for optimization. While agentic functions occupy a vanishingly small fraction of the total abstract function space, they exhibit logarithmic convergence in sparse environments. This suggests a high probability for the spontaneous emergence of agency during the training of modern, large-scale models. To quantify the degree of agency, the paper introduces a metric based on the distance between the behavioral equivalents of a given system and an "ideal" agentic function within the space of canonicalized rewards (STARC). This formalization provides a concrete apparatus for classifying and detecting mesa-optimizers by measuring their proximity to an ideal agentic objective, offering a robust tool for analyzing and identifying undesirable inner optimization in complex AI systems.
