# Detection Is Cheap, Routing Is Learned: Why Refusal-Based Alignment Evaluation Fails

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.18280 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.18280/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Safety alignment, refusal and guardrails, one of 12 directions in LLM safety and security.
- Builds on 0 of its 1 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Mar 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM safety and security / [Safety alignment, refusal and guardrails](https://mlsanity.com/safety/safety-alignment-refusal-and-guardrails/)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [How Alignment Routes: Localizing, Scaling, and Controlling Policy Circuits in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.04385/) (2026)
- [Ablating Safety: Mechanisms for Removing Alignment in Language Models for Security Applications](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.17413/) (2026)
- [Correcting Suppressed Log-Probabilities in Language Models with Post-Transformer Adapters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.14174/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Current alignment evaluation mostly measures whether models encode dangerous concepts and whether they refuse harmful requests. Both miss the layer where alignment often operates: routing from concept detection to behavioral policy. We study political censorship in Chinese-origin language models as a natural experiment, using probes, surgical ablations, and behavioral tests across nine open-weight models from five labs. Three findings follow. First, probe accuracy alone is non-diagnostic: political probes, null controls, and permutation baselines can all reach 100%, so held-out category generalization is the informative test. Second, surgical ablation reveals lab-specific routing. Removing the political-sensitivity direction eliminates censorship and restores accurate factual output in most models tested, while one model confabulates because its architecture entangles factual knowledge with the censorship mechanism. Cross-model transfer fails, indicating that routing geometry is model- and lab-specific. Third, refusal is no longer the dominant censorship mechanism. Within one model family, hard refusal falls to zero while narrative steering rises to the maximum, making censorship invisible to refusal-only benchmarks. These results support a three-stage descriptive framework: detect, route, generate. Models often retain the relevant knowledge; alignment changes how that knowledge is expressed. Evaluations that audit only detection or refusal therefore miss the routing mechanism that most directly determines behavior.
