# Experimental evidence of progressive ChatGPT models self-convergence

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.12683 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.12683/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in LLM synthetic data generation, one of 13 directions in Synthetic data and self-improvement for LLMs.
- Builds on 3 of its 8 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 13 Mar 2026.

## Placed in

- Synthetic data and self-improvement for LLMs / [LLM synthetic data generation](https://mlsanity.com/synth/llm-synthetic-data-generation/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Model Collapse Demystified: The Case of Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.07712/) (2024)
- [Universality of the π2/6 Pathway in Avoiding Model Collapse](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.22812/) (2024)
- [Recursive Learning Without Collapse: A Weighting-Based Stabilization Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18049/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large Language Models (LLMs) that undergo recursive training on synthetically generated data are susceptible to model collapse, a phenomenon marked by the generation of meaningless output. Existing research has examined this issue from either theoretical or empirical perspectives, often focusing on a single model trained recursively on its own outputs. While prior studies have cautioned against the potential degradation of LLM output quality under such conditions, no longitudinal investigation has yet been conducted to assess this effect over time. In this study, we employ a text similarity metric to evaluate different ChatGPT models' capacity to generate diverse textual outputs. Our findings indicate a measurable decline of recent ChatGPT releases' ability to produce varied text, even when explicitly prompted to do so, by setting the temperature parameter to one. The observed reduction in output diversity may be attributed to the influence of the amounts of synthetic data incorporated within their training datasets as the result of internet infiltration by LLM generated data. The phenomenon is defined as model self-convergence because of the gradual increase of similarities of produced texts among different ChatGPT versions.