# Hindsight-Anchored Policy Optimization: Learning Through Hindsight with Thompson Sampling-Inspired Adaptive Gating

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.11321 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.11321/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Reinforcement learning for reasoning, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 21 of its 27 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Mar 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Reinforcement learning for reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/lr/reinforcement-learning-for-reasoning/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 21 of 21)

- [Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.02155/) (2022)
- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.06180/) (2023)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [Finetuned Language Models Are Zero-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.01652/) (2021)
- [DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14476/) (2025)
- [HybridFlow: A Flexible and Efficient RLHF Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.19256/) (2024)
- [Solving Quantitative Reasoning Problems with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.14858/) (2022)
- [Understanding R1-Zero-Like Training: A Critical Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20783/) (2025)
- [Tulu 3: Pushing Frontiers in Open Language Model Post-Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.15124/) (2024)
- [Does Reinforcement Learning Really Incentivize Reasoning Capacity in LLMs Beyond the Base Model?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.13837/) (2025)
- [SimpleRL-Zoo: Investigating and Taming Zero Reinforcement Learning for Open Base Models in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.18892/) (2025)
- [Learning to Reason under Off-Policy Guidance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.14945/) (2025)
- [RL's Razor: Why Online Reinforcement Learning Forgets Less](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.04259/) (2025)
- [Learning What Reinforcement Learning Can't: Interleaved Online Fine-Tuning for Hardest Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07527/) (2025)
- [SRFT: A Single-Stage Method with Supervised and Reinforcement Fine-Tuning for Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.19767/) (2025)
- [Blending Supervised and Reinforcement Fine-Tuning with Prefix Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.01679/) (2025)
- [UFT: Unifying Supervised and Reinforcement Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16984/) (2025)
- [Hindsight policy gradients](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.06006/) (2017)
- [Hindsight Trust Region Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.12439/) (2019)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards improves reasoning in large language models, yet on-policy learning often suffers from cold-start challenges in sparse-reward settings. Recent mixed-policy approaches address this by combining off-policy teacher data with on-policy training. However, simply combining these introduce a persistent off-policy gradient mass that risks training collapse and instability. To address this challenge, we propose Hindsight-Anchored Policy Optimization (HAPO), a framework that allows teacher intervention to act as a temporary support. HAPO employs Beta-Binomial confidence gating, an adaptive gating mechanism that decides when to open the gate for teacher intervention. The intervention operates with Synthetic Success Injection, which replaces the group's lowest-reward rollout with a verified teacher trajectory. We also introduce adaptive threshold annealing, which gradually retracts the support and restores on-policy training within a finite horizon to mitigate persistent off-policy drift. We demonstrate that HAPO can be layered on top of existing mixed-policy methods in a generalizable manner. Across six math reasoning benchmarks and two model scales, HAPO improves the average accuracy of three major mixed-policy methods while maintaining training stability.