# An Empirical Study and Theoretical Explanation on Task-Level Model-Merging Collapse

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.09463 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.09463/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 40 of its 58 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Mar 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 40)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.10683/) (2019)
- [LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09685/) (2021)
- [LLaMA: Open and Efficient Foundation Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13971/) (2023)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03374/) (2021)
- [Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.03300/) (2020)
- [Qwen2.5 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.15115/) (2024)
- [GLUE: A Multi-Task Benchmark and Analysis Platform for Natural Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1804.07461/) (2018)
- [Parameter-Efficient Transfer Learning for NLP](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.00751/) (2019)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [XLNet: Generalized Autoregressive Pretraining for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.08237/) (2019)
- [LiveCodeBench: Holistic and Contamination Free Evaluation of Large Language Models for Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07974/) (2024)
- [Barlow Twins: Self-Supervised Learning via Redundancy Reduction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03230/) (2021)
- [Model soups: averaging weights of multiple fine-tuned models improves accuracy without increasing inference time](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.05482/) (2022)
- [Few-Shot Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning is Better and Cheaper than In-Context Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.05638/) (2022)
- [TIES-Merging: Resolving Interference When Merging Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01708/) (2023)
- [CodeXGLUE: A Machine Learning Benchmark Dataset for Code Understanding and Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.04664/) (2021)
- [Language Models are Super Mario: Absorbing Abilities from Homologous Models as a Free Lunch](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.03099/) (2023)
- [Linear Mode Connectivity and the Lottery Ticket Hypothesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.05671/) (2019)
- [In-Context Learning Creates Task Vectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.15916/) (2023)
- [Model Merging in LLMs, MLLMs, and Beyond: Methods, Theories, Applications and Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.07666/) (2024)
- [AdaMerging: Adaptive Model Merging for Multi-Task Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02575/) (2023)
- [Uniform convergence may be unable to explain generalization in deep learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.04742/) (2019)
- [Task Arithmetic in the Tangent Space: Improved Editing of Pre-Trained Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12827/) (2023)
- [Arcee's MergeKit: A Toolkit for Merging Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.13257/) (2024)
- [Twin-Merging: Dynamic Integration of Modular Expertise in Model Merging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.15479/) (2024)
- [EMR-Merging: Tuning-Free High-Performance Model Merging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17461/) (2024)
- [Conversational Health Agents: A Personalized LLM-Powered Agent Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02374/) (2023)
- [Revolutionizing Finance with LLMs: An Overview of Applications and Insights](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.11641/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Federation over Text: Insight Sharing for Multi-Agent Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.16778/) (2026)
- [Reading the Gate, Not the Interference: Output-Side Interference Measurement Does Not Track Merge Collapse](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.11797/) (2026)
- [From Parameters to Behaviors: A Survey of Model Fusion for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.19553/) (2026)
- [The evolution of sex for artificial intelligence: a population-genetic framework for multigenerational model populations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.18560/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Model merging unifies independently fine-tuned LLMs from the same base, enabling reuse and integration of parallel development efforts without retraining. However, in practice we observe that merging does not always succeed: certain combinations of task-specialist models suffer from catastrophic performance degradation after merging. We refer to this failure mode as merging collapse. Intuitively, collapse arises when the learned representations or parameter adjustments for different tasks are fundamentally incompatible, so that merging forces destructive interference rather than synergy. In this paper, we identify and characterize the phenomenon of task-level merging collapse, where certain task combinations consistently trigger huge performance degradation across all merging methods. Through extensive experiments and statistical analysis, we demonstrate that representational incompatibility between tasks is strongly correlated with merging collapse, while parameter-space conflict metrics show minimal correlation, challenging conventional wisdom in model merging literature. We provide a theoretical explanation on this phenomenon through rate-distortion theory with a dimension-dependent bound, establishing fundamental limits on task mergeability regardless of methodology.