# Class-Incremental Motion Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.09420 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.09420/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 45 of its 60 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Mar 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 45)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.11027/) (2019)
- [Grounding DINO: Marrying DINO with Grounded Pre-Training for Open-Set Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.05499/) (2023)
- [Learning without Forgetting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.09282/) (2016)
- [DINOv3](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.10104/) (2025)
- [Planning-oriented Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10156/) (2022)
- [Grounded SAM: Assembling Open-World Models for Diverse Visual Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.14159/) (2024)
- [Argoverse 2: Next Generation Datasets for Self-Driving Perception and Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.00493/) (2023)
- [VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.04259/) (2020)
- [Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.13732/) (2020)
- [Towards Open World Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.02603/) (2021)
- [Wayformer: Motion Forecasting via Simple & Efficient Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05844/) (2022)
- [SparseDrive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Sparse Scene Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.19620/) (2024)
- [FIERY: Future Instance Prediction in Bird's-Eye View from Surround Monocular Cameras](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.10490/) (2021)
- [Incremental Learning of Object Detectors without Catastrophic Forgetting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1708.06977/) (2017)
- [Multimodal Motion Prediction with Stacked Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.11624/) (2021)
- [BEVerse: Unified Perception and Prediction in Birds-Eye-View for Vision-Centric Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.09743/) (2022)
- [Modeling the Background for Incremental Learning in Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.00718/) (2020)
- [An Energy and GPU-Computation Efficient Backbone Network for Real-Time Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.09730/) (2019)
- [ViP3D: End-to-end Visual Trajectory Prediction via 3D Agent Queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.01582/) (2022)
- [TraPHic: Trajectory Prediction in Dense and Heterogeneous Traffic Using Weighted Interactions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.04767/) (2018)
- [Multi-Modal Trajectory Prediction of Surrounding Vehicles with Maneuver based LSTMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1805.05499/) (2018)
- [Multi-modal Motion Prediction with Transformer-based Neural Network for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.06446/) (2021)
- [Far3D: Expanding the Horizon for Surround-view 3D Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.09616/) (2023)
- [Sparse4D v3: Advancing End-to-End 3D Detection and Tracking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.11722/) (2023)
- [NeuroNCAP: Photorealistic Closed-loop Safety Testing for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.07762/) (2024)
- [Continual Detection Transformer for Incremental Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03110/) (2023)
- [End-to-end Contextual Perception and Prediction with Interaction Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.05927/) (2020)
- [Bridging Past and Future: End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Historical Prediction and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.14182/) (2025)
- [Multi-View Correlation Distillation for Incremental Object Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.01787/) (2021)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Sparse3DTrack: Monocular 3D Object Tracking Using Sparse Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.18298/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Motion forecasting enables autonomous vehicles to anticipate scene evolution by predicting the future trajectories of dynamic agents. However, existing approaches typically assume a closed-world setting with a fixed object taxonomy and access to high-quality perception, limiting their applicability in the real world where perception is imperfect, and new object classes may emerge over time. In this work, we introduce class-incremental motion forecasting, a novel setting in which new object classes are sequentially introduced over time and future object trajectories are predicted directly from camera images. We propose the first end-to-end framework for this setting, which adapts to newly introduced classes while mitigating catastrophic forgetting of previously learned ones. Our method generates motion forecasting pseudo-labels for known classes and matches them with 2D instance masks from an open-vocabulary segmentation model. This 3D-to-2D keypoint voting mechanism filters inconsistent and overconfident predictions, while a query feature variance-based replay strategy samples informative past sequences to preserve prior knowledge. Extensive evaluations on nuScenes and Argoverse 2 show that our approach successfully preserves performance on known classes while effectively adapting to novel ones. We further demonstrate zero-shot transfer to real-world driving and show that the framework extends naturally to open- and closed-loop end-to-end class-incremental planning on nuScenes and NeuroNCAP. Code and models will be made publicly available at https://omen.cs.uni-freiburg.de.
