# Underrepresented in Foundation Model Pretraining Data? A One-Shot Probe

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.04346 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.04346/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Prompt learning and adaptation of CLIP, one of 16 directions in Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models.
- Builds on 25 of its 43 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 4 Mar 2026.

## Placed in

- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [Prompt learning and adaptation of CLIP](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/prompt-learning-and-adaptation-of-clip/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1512.03385/) (2015)
- [BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.04805/) (2018)
- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [GPT-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08774/) (2023)
- [Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.0312/) (2014)
- [ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0575/) (2014)
- [Zero-Shot Text-to-Image Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.12092/) (2021)
- [On the Opportunities and Risks of Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07258/) (2021)
- [Scaling Up Visual and Vision-Language Representation Learning With Noisy Text Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.05918/) (2021)
- [Describing Textures in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1311.3618/) (2013)
- [Fine-Grained Visual Classification of Aircraft](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1306.5151/) (2013)
- [LAION-400M: Open Dataset of CLIP-Filtered 400 Million Image-Text Pairs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.02114/) (2021)
- [Do ImageNet Classifiers Generalize to ImageNet?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10811/) (2019)
- [EuroSAT: A Novel Dataset and Deep Learning Benchmark for Land Use and Land Cover Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.00029/) (2017)
- [Microsoft COCO Captions: Data Collection and Evaluation Server](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1504.00325/) (2015)
- [Natural Adversarial Examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.07174/) (2019)
- [Reproducible scaling laws for contrastive language-image learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.07143/) (2022)
- [CLIP-Adapter: Better Vision-Language Models with Feature Adapters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.04544/) (2021)
- [RemoteCLIP: A Vision Language Foundation Model for Remote Sensing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.11029/) (2023)
- [No "Zero-Shot" Without Exponential Data: Pretraining Concept Frequency Determines Multimodal Model Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.04125/) (2024)
- [MediCLIP: Adapting CLIP for Few-shot Medical Image Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.11315/) (2024)
- [Predicting the Performance of Foundation Models via Agreement-on-the-Line](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.01542/) (2024)
- [Zero-Shot Out-of-Distribution Detection with Outlier Label Exposure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01170/) (2024)
- [The State of Computer Vision Research in Africa](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.11617/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Large-scale Vision-Language Foundation Models (VLFMs), such as CLIP, now underpin a wide range of computer vision research and applications. VLFMs are often adapted to various domain-specific tasks. However, VLFM performance on novel, specialised, or underrepresented domains remains inconsistent. Evaluating VLFMs typically requires labelled test sets, which are often unavailable for niche domains of interest, particularly those from the Global South. We address this gap by proposing a highly data-efficient method to predict a VLFM's zero-shot accuracy on a target domain using only a single labelled image per class. Our approach uses a Large Language Model to generate plausible counterfactual descriptions of a given image. By measuring the VLFM's ability to distinguish the correct description from these hard negatives, we engineer features that capture the VLFM's discriminative power in its shared embedding space. A linear regressor trained on these similarity scores estimates the VLFM's zero-shot test accuracy across various visual domains with a Pearson-r correlation of 0.96. We demonstrate our method's performance across five diverse datasets, including standard benchmark datasets and underrepresented datasets from Africa. Our work provides a low-cost, reliable tool for probing VLFMs, enabling researchers and practitioners to make informed decisions about data annotation efforts before committing significant resources. The model training code, generated captions and counterfactuals are released here: https://github.com/chris-vorster/PreLabellingProbe.