# Forecasting as Rendering: A 2D Gaussian Splatting Framework for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.02220 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.02220/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 23 of its 45 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 10 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 23 of 23)

- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [U-Net: Convolutional Networks for Biomedical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.04597/) (2015)
- [3D Gaussian Splatting for Real-Time Radiance Field Rendering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.04079/) (2023)
- [Outrageously Large Neural Networks: The Sparsely-Gated Mixture-of-Experts Layer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1701.06538/) (2017)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [2D Gaussian Splatting for Geometrically Accurate Radiance Fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.17888/) (2024)
- [iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06625/) (2023)
- [Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-horizon Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.09363/) (2019)
- [N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10437/) (2019)
- [Financial Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning : A Systematic Literature Review: 2005-2019](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.13288/) (2019)
- [Deep Time Series Models: A Comprehensive Survey and Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.13278/) (2024)
- [CycleNet: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting through Modeling Periodic Patterns](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.18479/) (2024)
- [GaussianImage: 1000 FPS Image Representation and Compression by 2D Gaussian Splatting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.08551/) (2024)
- [TimeFilter: Patch-Specific Spatial-Temporal Graph Filtration for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.13041/) (2025)
- [Adaptive Multi-Scale Decomposition Framework for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.03751/) (2024)
- [GaussianSR: High Fidelity 2D Gaussian Splatting for Arbitrary-Scale Image Super-Resolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.18046/) (2024)
- [FinMamba: Market-Aware Graph Enhanced Multi-Level Mamba for Stock Movement Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.06707/) (2025)
- [CMoS: Rethinking Time Series Prediction Through the Lens of Chunk-wise Spatial Correlations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.19090/) (2025)
- [Times2D: Multi-Period Decomposition and Derivative Mapping for General Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.00118/) (2025)
- [2D Gaussian Splatting with Semantic Alignment for Image Inpainting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.01964/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Existence Precedes Value: Joint Modeling of Observational Existence and Evolving States in Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.13571/) (2026)
- [GS-Codec: A Gaussian-Splatting Bottleneck for Neural Audio Coding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.04651/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Time series forecasting remains a challenging problem due to the intricate entanglement of intra-period fluctuations and inter-period trends. While recent advances have attempted to reshape 1D sequences into 2D period-phase representations, they suffer from two principal limitations. Firstly, treating reshaped tensors as static images results in a topological mismatch, as standard spatial operators sever chronological continuity at grid boundaries. Secondly, relying on uniform fixed-size representations allocates modeling capacity inefficiently and fails to provide the adaptive resolution required for compressible, non-stationary temporal patterns. To address these limitations, we introduce TimeGS, a novel framework that fundamentally shifts the forecasting paradigm from regression to 2D generative rendering. By reconceptualizing the future sequence as a latent 2D temporal surface, TimeGS utilizes the inherent anisotropy of Gaussian kernels to adaptively model complex variations with flexible geometric alignment. To realize this, we introduce a Multi-Basis Gaussian Kernel Generation (MB-GKG) block that synthesizes kernels from a fixed dictionary to stabilize optimization, and a Multi-Period Chronologically Continuous Rasterization (MP-CCR) block that enforces strict temporal continuity across periodic boundaries. Comprehensive experiments on standard benchmark datasets demonstrate that TimeGS attains state-of-the-art or competitive performance. The code is at https://github.com/yixinwang1/TimeGS.