# FreeGNN: Continual Source-Free Graph Neural Network Adaptation for Renewable Energy Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01657 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.01657/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 19 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Mar 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 19 of 19)

- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10903/) (2017)
- [Inductive Representation Learning on Large Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02216/) (2017)
- [Overcoming catastrophic forgetting in neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00796/) (2016)
- [Gradient Episodic Memory for Continual Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.08840/) (2017)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [Dark Experience for General Continual Learning: a Strong, Simple Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.07211/) (2020)
- [Do We Really Need to Access the Source Data? Source Hypothesis Transfer for Unsupervised Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08546/) (2020)
- [Temporal Graph Networks for Deep Learning on Dynamic Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.10637/) (2020)
- [EvolveGCN: Evolving Graph Convolutional Networks for Dynamic Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10191/) (2019)
- [Revisiting Batch Normalization For Practical Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.04779/) (2016)
- [Source-Free Domain Adaptation for Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.16372/) (2021)
- [Source-Free Progressive Graph Learning for Open-Set Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.06174/) (2022)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.10569/) (2023)
- [Source Free Unsupervised Graph Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.00955/) (2021)
- [Collaborate to Adapt: Source-Free Graph Domain Adaptation via Bi-directional Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.01467/) (2024)
- [GALA: Graph Diffusion-based Alignment with Jigsaw for Source-free Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16606/) (2024)
- [Cross-Domain Few-Shot Learning via Adaptive Transformer Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.13987/) (2024)
- [Evidentially Calibrated Source-Free Time-Series Domain Adaptation with Temporal Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02635/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Environmental Impact of Generative and Agentic AI: An in-Depth Analysis and Green Solutions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.32960/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate forecasting of renewable energy generation is essential for efficient grid management and sustainable power planning. However, traditional supervised models often require access to labeled data from the target site, which may be unavailable due to privacy, cost, or logistical constraints. In this work, we propose FreeGNN, a Continual Source-Free Graph Domain Adaptation framework that enables adaptive forecasting on unseen renewable energy sites without requiring source data or target labels. Our approach integrates a spatio-temporal Graph Neural Network (GNN) backbone with a teacher--student strategy, a memory replay mechanism to mitigate catastrophic forgetting, graph-based regularization to preserve spatial correlations, and a drift-aware weighting scheme to dynamically adjust adaptation strength during streaming updates. This combination allows the model to continuously adapt to non-stationary environmental conditions while maintaining robustness and stability. We conduct extensive experiments on three real-world datasets: GEFCom2012, Solar PV, and Wind SCADA, encompassing multiple sites, temporal resolutions, and meteorological features. The ablation study confirms that each component memory, graph regularization, drift-aware adaptation, and teacher--student strategy contributes significantly to overall performance. The experiments show that FreeGNN achieves an MAE of 5.237 and an RMSE of 7.123 on the GEFCom dataset, an MAE of 1.107 and an RMSE of 1.512 on the Solar PV dataset, and an MAE of 0.382 and an RMSE of 0.523 on the Wind SCADA dataset. These results demonstrate its ability to achieve accurate and robust forecasts in a source-free, continual learning setting, highlighting its potential for real-world deployment in adaptive renewable energy systems. For reproducibility, implementation details are available at: https://github.com/AraoufBh/FreeGNN.