# Formal Analysis and Supply Chain Security for Agentic AI Skills

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00195 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.00195/

## Key facts

- Cited by 25 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Agent threats, guardrails and governance, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 17 of its 97 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Feb 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Agent threats, guardrails and governance](https://mlsanity.com/agents/agent-threats-guardrails-and-governance/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [SoK: Agentic Skills -- Beyond Tool Use in LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.20867/) (2026)
- [Agent Skills in the Wild: An Empirical Study of Security Vulnerabilities at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.10338/) (2026)
- [MCPTox: A Benchmark for Tool Poisoning Attack on Real-World MCP Servers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.14925/) (2025)
- [Backstabber's Knife Collection: A Review of Open Source Software Supply Chain Attacks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.09535/) (2020)
- [LLM Platform Security: Applying a Systematic Evaluation Framework to OpenAI's ChatGPT Plugins](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.10254/) (2023)
- [Towards Verifiably Safe Tool Use for LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.08012/) (2026)
- [Unsafer in Many Turns: Benchmarking and Defending Multi-Turn Safety Risks in Tool-Using Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.13379/) (2026)
- [MCPXKIT: The Unified Toolkit for Analyzing Model Context Protocol Security](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.12538/) (2025)
- [MalTool: Malicious Tool Attacks on LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.12194/) (2026)
- [Agent Behavioral Contracts: Formal Specification and Runtime Enforcement for Reliable Autonomous AI Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.22302/) (2026)
- [OMNI-LEAK: Orchestrator Multi-Agent Network Induced Data Leakage](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.13477/) (2026)
- [Capable but Unreliable: Canonical Path Deviation as a Causal Mechanism of Agent Failure in Long-Horizon Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.19008/) (2026)
- [CIBER: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Security Evaluation of Code Interpreter Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.19547/) (2026)
- [The LLMbda Calculus: AI Agents, Conversations, and Information Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.20064/) (2026)
- [Extending the OWASP Multi-Agentic System Threat Modeling Guide: Insights from Multi-Agent Security Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.09815/) (2025)
- [A Rusty Link in the AI Supply Chain: Detecting Evil Configurations in Model Repositories](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.01067/) (2025)
- [Package Managers `a la Carte: A Formal Model of Dependency Resolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.18602/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [SkillSieve: A Hierarchical Triage Framework for Detecting Malicious AI Agent Skills](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.06550/) (2026)
- [How Your Credentials Are Leaked by LLM Agent Skills: An Empirical Study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.03070/) (2026)
- [MalSkillBench: A Runtime-Verified Benchmark of Malicious Agent Skills](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.07131/) (2026)
- [When Safe Skills Collide: Measuring Compositional Risk in Agent Skill Ecosystems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.00448/) (2026)
- [Benign in Isolation, Harmful in Composition: Security Risks in Agent Skill Ecosystems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.15242/) (2026)
- [Context Matters: Repository-Aware Security Analysis of the Agent Skill Ecosystem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.16572/) (2026)
- [Behavioral Integrity Verification for AI Agent Skills](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.11770/) (2026)
- [From Chatbot to Digital Colleague: The Paradigm Shift Toward Persistent Autonomous AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.14502/) (2026)
- [Seeing Is Not Screening: Multimodal Hidden Instruction Attacks on Agent Skill Scanners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.18198/) (2026)
- [Agent Skill Security: Threat Models, Attacks, Defenses, and Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.13987/) (2026)
- [Agent Skills Matter: Inferring Proprietary Skills from Execution Trajectories](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.25560/) (2026)
- [ColluSkill: Adversarial Cross-Skill Composition for Evading Agent Skill Scanners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.09732/) (2026)
- [The Y-Combinator for LLMs: Solving Long-Context Rot with λ-Calculus](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.20105/) (2026)
- [Runtime Skill Audit: Targeted Runtime Probing for Agent Skill Security](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.11671/) (2026)
- [Skills Are Not Islands: Measuring Dependency and Risk in Agent Skill Supply Chains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.01136/) (2026)
- [AgentAssay: Token-Efficient Regression Testing for Non-Deterministic AI Agent Workflows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.02601/) (2026)
- [Protocol-Level Attacks on Agentic Commerce Platforms: A Cross-Platform Taxonomy, AIP-Bench, and Unified Defense](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.21824/) (2026)
- [MaliciousSkillBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Malicious Agent Skill Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.19901/) (2026)
- [Versioned Transitive Dependency-Closure Binding and Operation-Time Effect Governance for Agent Skills: ClosureBound](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.05920/) (2026)
- [Understanding and mitigating the risks of OpenClaw for non-technical users: A practical guide with Skill](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.11007/) (2026)
- [SynChain: Inducing Computer-Use Agent Systems to Construct Their Own Attack Chains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.06862/) (2026)
- [MMSkillRisk: Can Agents Stay Safe When Multimodal Skills Become Traps?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.35912/) (2026)
- [AgentSpy: Making AI Agent Behavior Observable](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.06001/) (2026)
- [SkillScreen: High-Recall Screening of Malicious Agent Skills with Decision Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.17727/) (2026)
- [CoRedSkill: Stealthy Skill Composition Attacks via AST-Guided Injection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.20049/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

32 pages, 5 theorems with full proofs, 68 references, open-source tool: https://github.com/qualixar/skillfortify. v2: corrects the bibliography (22 entries had author lists that did not match the papers at the cited arXiv identifiers; all verified against the arXiv API and corrected, and affected authors notified) and three external claims against primary sources: MalTool reports 1,300 standalone and 5,727 embedded malicious tools, not 6,487; CVE-2026-25253 is authentication-token exfiltration via an unvalidated gatewayUrl, credited to depthfirst and fixed in 2026.1.29, not remote code execution through a crafted skill package; ClawHavoc counts are 341, later 824, and 1,184 by source and date, not "over 1,200". All experiments re-measured against the released v0.6.0 implementation using harnesses now committed to the repository. E1/E2 unchanged (F1 96.15%). E3 reverses to a negative result: information flow analysis adds no detections over pattern matching on this corpus. The soundness theorem's scope is stated explicitly and no longer conflated with the zero false-positive rate.
