# ClinDet-Bench: Beyond Abstention, Evaluating Judgment Determinability of LLMs in Clinical Decision-Making

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.22771 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.22771/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 58 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11916/) (2022)
- [Know What You Don't Know: Unanswerable Questions for SQuAD](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.03822/) (2018)
- [What Disease does this Patient Have? A Large-scale Open Domain Question Answering Dataset from Medical Exams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.13081/) (2020)
- [Interleaving Retrieval with Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Knowledge-Intensive Multi-Step Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.10509/) (2022)
- [Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Words](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14334/) (2022)
- [A Dataset of Information-Seeking Questions and Answers Anchored in Research Papers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.03011/) (2021)
- [The Reversal Curse: LLMs trained on "A is B" fail to learn "B is A"](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.12288/) (2023)
- [LLM Self Defense: By Self Examination, LLMs Know They Are Being Tricked](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.07308/) (2023)
- [Decomposing Uncertainty for Large Language Models through Input Clarification Ensembling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.08718/) (2023)
- [DisentQA: Disentangling Parametric and Contextual Knowledge with Counterfactual Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.05655/) (2022)
- [Are Large Language Models Really Good Logical Reasoners? A Comprehensive Evaluation and Beyond](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09841/) (2023)
- [Evaluating GPT-4 and ChatGPT on Japanese Medical Licensing Examinations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.18027/) (2023)
- [Do LLMs Know When to NOT Answer? Investigating Abstention Abilities of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.16221/) (2024)
- [Knowing When to Abstain: Medical LLMs Under Clinical Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.12471/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Benchmarking Multi-turn Medical Diagnosis: Hold, Lure, and Self-Correction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.04325/) (2026)
- [CliniCARE-Bench: Clinical Calibrated Audit of Medical Reasoning in EHR](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.07796/) (2026)
- [Unknown is not normal: separating language-model extraction from rule-based decision logic for clinical risk scores](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.34112/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Clinical decisions are often required under incomplete information. Clinical experts must identify whether available information is sufficient for judgment, as both premature conclusion and unnecessary abstention can compromise patient safety. To evaluate this capability of large language models (LLMs), we developed ClinDet-Bench, a benchmark based on clinical scoring systems that decomposes incomplete-information scenarios into determinable and undeterminable conditions. Identifying determinability requires considering all hypotheses about missing information, including unlikely ones, and verifying whether the conclusion holds across them. We find that recent LLMs fail to identify determinability under incomplete information, producing both premature judgments and excessive abstention, despite correctly explaining the underlying scoring knowledge and performing well under complete information. These findings suggest that existing benchmarks are insufficient to evaluate the safety of LLMs in clinical settings. ClinDet-Bench provides a framework for evaluating determinability recognition, leading to appropriate abstention, with potential applicability to medicine and other high-stakes domains, and is publicly available.
