# On Imbalanced Regression with Hoeffding Trees

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.22101 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.22101/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 12 of its 46 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 25 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 12 of 12)

- [Learning Imbalanced Datasets with Label-Distribution-Aware Margin Loss](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.07413/) (2019)
- [Delving into Deep Imbalanced Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09554/) (2021)
- [River: machine learning for streaming data in Python](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.04740/) (2020)
- [Scikit-Multiflow: A Multi-output Streaming Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.04662/) (2018)
- [Extremely Fast Decision Tree](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.08780/) (2018)
- [Why does Throwing Away Data Improve Worst-Group Error?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11672/) (2022)
- [Hierarchical Shrinkage: improving the accuracy and interpretability of tree-based methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.00858/) (2022)
- [Balancing the Scales: A Theoretical and Algorithmic Framework for Learning from Imbalanced Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.10381/) (2025)
- [Stochastic Gradient Trees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.07777/) (2019)
- [A benchmark of data stream classification for human activity recognition on connected objects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.11880/) (2020)
- [Probably Approximately Precision and Recall Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.13029/) (2024)
- [Real-Time Energy Pricing in New Zealand: An Evolving Stream Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.16187/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Many real-world applications generate continuous data streams for regression. Hoeffding trees and their variants have a long-standing tradition due to their effectiveness, either alone or as base models in broader ensembles. Recent batch-learning work shows that kernel density estimation (KDE) improves smoothed predictions in imbalanced regression [Yang et al., 2021], while hierarchical shrinkage (HS) provides post-hoc regularization for decision trees without modifying their structure [Agarwal et al., 2022]. We extend KDE to streaming settings via a telescoping formulation and integrate HS into incremental decision trees. Empirical evaluation on standard online regression benchmarks shows that KDE consistently improves early-stream performance, whereas HS provides limited gains. Our implementation is publicly available at: https://github.com/marinaAlchirch/DSFA_2026.
