# cc-Shapley: Measuring Multivariate Feature Importance Needs Causal Context

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.20396 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.20396/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 30 of its 61 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 30)

- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01422/) (2018)
- [Unmasking Clever Hans Predictors and Assessing What Machines Really Learn](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1902.10178/) (2019)
- [Algorithmic Recourse: from Counterfactual Explanations to Interventions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.06278/) (2020)
- [Causality for Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.10500/) (2019)
- [Feature relevance quantification in explainable AI: A causal problem](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.13413/) (2019)
- [Interventional Causal Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.11924/) (2022)
- [Algorithmic recourse under imperfect causal knowledge: a probabilistic approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.06831/) (2020)
- [Weakly supervised causal representation learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.16437/) (2022)
- [Drug discovery with explainable artificial intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.00523/) (2020)
- [Algorithms to estimate Shapley value feature attributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.07605/) (2022)
- [Causal Shapley Values: Exploiting Causal Knowledge to Explain Individual Predictions of Complex Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.01625/) (2020)
- [Towards Explainable Artificial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.12072/) (2019)
- [A Survey on Causal Discovery: Theory and Practice](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10032/) (2023)
- [Explainable Artificial Intelligence: A Survey of Needs, Techniques, Applications, and Future Direction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.00265/) (2024)
- [Causal Explanations and XAI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.13169/) (2022)
- [Dear XAI Community, We Need to Talk! Fundamental Misconceptions in Current XAI Research](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.04292/) (2023)
- [Improvement-Focused Causal Recourse (ICR)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.15709/) (2022)
- [Scrutinizing XAI using linear ground-truth data with suppressor variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.07473/) (2021)
- [The role of causality in explainable artificial intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.09901/) (2023)
- [Quantifying intrinsic causal contributions via structure preserving interventions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.00714/) (2020)
- [Theoretical Behavior of XAI Methods in the Presence of Suppressor Variables](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01464/) (2023)
- [Causal interpretation rules for encoding and decoding models in neuroimaging](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.04780/) (2015)
- [Practical do-Shapley Explanations with Estimand-Agnostic Causal Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.20211/) (2025)
- [Explainable AI needs formalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.14590/) (2024)
- [Exactly Computing do-Shapley Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.07203/) (2026)
- [Feature salience - not task-informativeness - drives machine learning model explanations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.09238/) (2026)
- [Minimizing False-Positive Attributions in Explanations of Non-Linear Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11210/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Explainable artificial intelligence promises to yield insights into relevant features, thereby enabling humans to examine and scrutinize machine learning models or even facilitating scientific discovery. Considering the widespread technique of Shapley values, we find that purely data-driven operationalization of multivariate feature importance is unsuitable for such purposes. Even for simple problems with two features, spurious associations due to collider bias and suppression arise from considering one feature only in the observational context of the other, which can lead to misinterpretations. Causal knowledge about the data-generating process is required to identify and correct such misleading feature attributions. We propose cc-Shapley (causal context Shapley), an interventional modification of conventional observational Shapley values leveraging knowledge of the data's causal structure, thereby analyzing the relevance of a feature in the causal context of the remaining features. We show theoretically that this eradicates spurious association induced by collider bias. We compare the behavior of Shapley and cc-Shapley values on various, synthetic, and real-world datasets. We observe nullification or reversal of associations compared to univariate feature importance when moving from observational to cc-Shapley.
