# Stable Long-Horizon Spatiotemporal Prediction on Meshes Using Latent Multiscale Recurrent Graph Neural Networks

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.18146 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.18146/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 17 of its 42 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 20 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [SGDR: Stochastic Gradient Descent with Warm Restarts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.03983/) (2016)
- [Variational Graph Auto-Encoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1611.07308/) (2016)
- [How Attentive are Graph Attention Networks?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.14491/) (2021)
- [DeepGCNs: Can GCNs Go as Deep as CNNs?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1904.03751/) (2019)
- [T-GCN: A Temporal Graph ConvolutionalNetwork for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.05320/) (2018)
- [ClimaX: A foundation model for weather and climate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.10343/) (2023)
- [Structured Sequence Modeling with Graph Convolutional Recurrent Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.07659/) (2016)
- [PDE-Refiner: Achieving Accurate Long Rollouts with Neural PDE Solvers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.05732/) (2023)
- [SOAP: Improving and Stabilizing Shampoo using Adam](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.11321/) (2024)
- [ClimODE: Climate and Weather Forecasting with Physics-informed Neural ODEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.10024/) (2024)
- [Eagle: Large-Scale Learning of Turbulent Fluid Dynamics with Mesh Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.10803/) (2023)
- [Machine learning for metal additive manufacturing: Predicting temperature and melt pool fluid dynamics using physics-informed neural networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.13547/) (2020)
- [Mesh Neural Networks for SE(3)-Equivariant Hemodynamics Estimation on the Artery Wall](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.05023/) (2022)
- [Learning Distributions of Complex Fluid Simulations with Diffusion Graph Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.02843/) (2025)
- [Hybrid thermal modeling of additive manufacturing processes using physics-informed neural networks for temperature prediction and parameter identification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.07756/) (2022)
- [Deep vectorised operators for pulsatile hemodynamics estimation in coronary arteries from a steady-state prior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.11920/) (2024)
- [Voxel2Hemodynamics: An End-to-end Deep Learning Method for Predicting Coronary Artery Hemodynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.19107/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate long-horizon prediction of spatiotemporal fields on complex geometries is a fundamental challenge in scientific machine learning, with applications such as additive manufacturing where temperature histories govern defect formation and mechanical properties. High-fidelity simulations are accurate but computationally costly, and despite recent advances, machine learning methods remain challenged by long-horizon temperature and gradient prediction. We propose a deep learning framework for predicting full temperature histories directly on meshes, conditioned on geometry and process parameters, while maintaining stability over thousands of time steps and generalizing across heterogeneous geometries. The framework adopts a temporal multiscale architecture composed of two coupled models operating at complementary time scales. Both models rely on a latent recurrent graph neural network to capture spatiotemporal dynamics on meshes, while a variational graph autoencoder provides a compact latent representation that reduces memory usage and improves training stability. Experiments on simulated powder bed fusion data demonstrate accurate and temporally stable long-horizon predictions across diverse geometries, outperforming existing baseline. Although evaluated in two dimensions, the framework is general and extensible to physics-driven systems with multiscale dynamics and to three-dimensional geometries.
