# AlphaPROBE: Alpha Mining via Principled Retrieval and On-graph biased evolution

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11917 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11917/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 18 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 Feb 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00667/) (2022)
- [Qwen3 Embedding: Advancing Text Embedding and Reranking Through Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05176/) (2025)
- [Qlib: An AI-oriented Quantitative Investment Platform](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.11189/) (2020)
- [Alpha-GPT: Human-AI Interactive Alpha Mining for Quantitative Investment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.00016/) (2023)
- [R&D-Agent-Quant: A Multi-Agent Framework for Data-Centric Factors and Model Joint Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15155/) (2025)
- [AlphaAgent: LLM-Driven Alpha Mining with Regularized Exploration to Counteract Alpha Decay](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.16789/) (2025)
- [Generating Synergistic Formulaic Alpha Collections via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.12964/) (2023)
- [AlphaForge: A Framework to Mine and Dynamically Combine Formulaic Alpha Factors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.18394/) (2024)
- [Automate Strategy Finding with LLM in Quant Investment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.06289/) (2024)
- [Reinforcement Learning for Quantitative Trading](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.13851/) (2021)
- [Navigating the Alpha Jungle: An LLM-Powered MCTS Framework for Formulaic Factor Mining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11122/) (2025)
- [Cognitive Alpha Mining via LLM-Driven Code-Based Evolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.18850/) (2025)
- [QuantFactor REINFORCE: Mining Steady Formulaic Alpha Factors with Variance-bounded REINFORCE](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.05144/) (2024)
- [AlphaEval: A Comprehensive and Efficient Evaluation Framework for Formula Alpha Mining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.13174/) (2025)
- [Chain-of-Alpha: Unleashing the Power of Large Language Models for Alpha Mining in Quantitative Trading](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.06312/) (2025)
- [Alpha-R1: Alpha Screening with LLM Reasoning via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.23515/) (2025)
- [Learning from Expert Factors: Trajectory-level Reward Shaping for Formulaic Alpha Mining](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.20263/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [AQuA: Recursively Self-Improving Quantitative Trading Research Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.12841/) (2026)
- [Agentic Empirical Asset Pricing: Methodological Foundations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.00731/) (2026)
- [AlphaPilot: Multi-Turn Tool-Using LLM Agents for Adaptive Alpha Mining with Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.15488/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Extracting signals through alpha factor mining is a fundamental challenge in quantitative finance. Existing automated methods primarily follow two paradigms: Decoupled Factor Generation, which treats factor discovery as isolated events, and Iterative Factor Evolution, which focuses on local parent-child refinements. However, both paradigms lack a global structural view, often treating factor pools as unstructured collections or fragmented chains, which leads to redundant search and limited diversity. To address these limitations, we introduce AlphaPROBE (Alpha Mining via Principled Retrieval and On-graph Biased Evolution), a framework that reframes alpha mining as the strategic navigation of a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG). By modeling factors as nodes and evolutionary links as edges, AlphaPROBE treats the factor pool as a dynamic, interconnected ecosystem. The framework consists of two core components: a Bayesian Factor Retriever that identifies high-potential seeds by balancing exploitation and exploration through a posterior probability model, and a DAG-aware Factor Generator that leverages the full ancestral trace of factors to produce context-aware, nonredundant optimizations. Extensive experiments on three major Chinese stock market datasets against 8 competitive baselines demonstrate that AlphaPROBE significantly gains enhanced performance in predictive accuracy, return stability and training efficiency. Our results confirm that leveraging global evolutionary topology is essential for efficient and robust automated alpha discovery. We have open-sourced our implementation at https://github.com/gta0804/AlphaPROBE.