# Time-TK: A Multi-Offset Temporal Interaction Framework Combining Transformer and Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.11190 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11190/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 43 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Jan 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.6980/) (2014)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interaction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09305/) (2021)
- [SOFTS: Efficient Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Series-Core Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.14197/) (2024)
- [KAGNNs: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks meet Graph Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.18380/) (2024)
- [Revitalizing Multivariate Time Series Forecasting: Learnable Decomposition with Inter-Series Dependencies and Intra-Series Variations Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.12694/) (2024)
- [Swift Sampler: Efficient Learning of Sampler by 10 Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05578/) (2024)
- [Post-Training Attribute Unlearning in Recommender Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.06737/) (2024)
- [From Points to Coalitions: Hierarchical Contrastive Shapley Values for Prioritizing Data Samples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.19363/) (2025)
- [CEC-Zero: Zero-Supervision Character Error Correction with Self-Generated Rewards](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.23971/) (2025)
- [CMoS: Rethinking Time Series Prediction Through the Lens of Chunk-wise Spatial Correlations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.19090/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [PESD-TSF: A Period-Aware and Explicit Structured Decomposition Framework for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.16449/) (2026)
- [CASE-NET: Deep Spatio-Temporal Representation Learning via Causal Attention and Channel Recalibration for Multivariate Time Series Classification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.22043/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Time series forecasting is crucial for the World Wide Web and represents a core technical challenge in ensuring the stable and efficient operation of modern web services, such as intelligent transportation and website throughput. However, we have found that existing methods typically employ a strategy of embedding each time step as an independent token. This paradigm introduces a fundamental information bottleneck when processing long sequences, the root cause of which is that independent token embedding destroys a crucial structure within the sequence - what we term as multi-offset temporal correlation. This refers to the fine-grained dependencies embedded within the sequence that span across different time steps, which is especially prevalent in regular Web data. To fundamentally address this issue, we propose a new perspective on time series embedding. We provide an upper bound on the approximate reconstruction performance of token embedding, which guides our design of a concise yet effective Multi-Offset Time Embedding method to mitigate the performance degradation caused by standard token embedding. Furthermore, our MOTE can be integrated into various existing models and serve as a universal building block. Based on this paradigm, we further design a novel forecasting architecture named Time-TK. This architecture first utilizes a Multi-Offset Interactive KAN to learn and represent specific temporal patterns among multiple offset sub-sequences. Subsequently, it employs an efficient Multi-Offset Temporal Interaction mechanism to effectively capture the complex dependencies between these sub-sequences, achieving global information integration. Extensive experiments on 14 real-world benchmark datasets, covering domains such as traffic flow and BTC/USDT throughput, demonstrate that Time-TK significantly outperforms all baseline models, achieving state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy.
